TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Real Oviedoof Real Madrid CF, Real Oviedo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,311 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Real Madrid CF34c76,118$26,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,250955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+80.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Real Oviedo66c34,002$22,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,573.33,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ab…97b6backed Real Oviedo66c21,072$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,072.354100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Real Madrid CF31c9,617$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Real Madrid CF34c8,420$2,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,862.71735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Real Oviedo70c7,960$5,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.7657139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Real Oviedo66c7,816$5,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,657.5624145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Real Oviedo66c6,182$4,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.2214146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Real Oviedo66c4,452$2,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.481,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Real Oviedo65c4,025$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.820159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Real Oviedo66c3,883$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.0268450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Real Oviedo67c3,704$2,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.7648153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ad…7df7backed Real Madrid CF32c3,601$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Real Madrid CF33c3,213$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.6615051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Real Madrid CF2c3,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Real Oviedo66c2,584$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.1622455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Real Oviedo66c2,584$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.1640357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Real Madrid CF17c1,817$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Real Oviedo64c1,562$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.3250449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Real Oviedo65c1,527$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.812846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Real Oviedo66c1,519$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.3548251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Real Oviedo66c1,470$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.6764457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked Real Madrid CF23c1,302$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Real Oviedo79c1,143$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9933544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Real Oviedo65c1,109$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.071,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Real Oviedo66c1,100$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3747851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Real Oviedo69c1,018$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.71,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Real Madrid CF1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333%1 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+203%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Real Oviedo67c849$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.1728045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Real Madrid CF36c828.54$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.0599933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Real Oviedo68c799.99$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2563560%21 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Real Madrid CF33c660.73$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.744,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Real Madrid CF16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010361.2%63 W · 40 L+13.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Real Madrid CF10c612$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.245841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Real Oviedo64c566.27$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.8632645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Real Oviedo66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17012863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Real Oviedo66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17012066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Real Oviedo67c443.69$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.424850%24 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd20e…3219backed Real Madrid CF36c410$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Real Madrid CF27c400.37$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1287.1%2 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-66.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Real Oviedo66c378$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5289050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Real Oviedo66c378$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.521,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Real Oviedo69c376.4$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8610843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Real Madrid CF29c370.42$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.56048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Oviedo66c347.47$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.021,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Real Madrid CF33c326.93$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.742828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb876…d9c3backed Real Madrid CF33c300.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.141471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+52.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Real Oviedo66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10242458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Real Madrid CF14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Real Oviedo66c246.36$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.768961.8%55 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Real Oviedo77c234.77$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.772576%19 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+16.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Real Oviedo67c201.74$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.895375.5%40 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Real Madrid CF32c201.74$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4411820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Real Madrid CF34c197.06$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Real Oviedo67c185.7$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.283243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Real Oviedo66c182.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.768254.9%45 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Real Madrid CF27c181.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7906…ad0ebacked Real Oviedo68c165.24$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Real Oviedo66c157.72$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6213163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…c5dcbacked Real Madrid CF32c157.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Real Oviedo66c151.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.516459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Real Oviedo68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0622939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Real Oviedo68c146.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.615560%33 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Real Madrid CF35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505945.8%27 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Real Oviedo67c139.63$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.089750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Real Madrid CF34c132.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Real Oviedo66c129.91$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.21,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Real Madrid CF31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…887cbacked Real Madrid CF36c113.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x355c…0607backed Real Madrid CF17c112$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf14d…e516backed Real Madrid CF36c111.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5617…a1f2backed Real Oviedo68c110.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.291764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c8…6327backed Real Madrid CF37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Real Oviedo71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2983444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Real Madrid CF34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.510752.3%56 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Real Oviedo66c99.8$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1519358.5%113 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Real Oviedo67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.559950.5%50 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Real Madrid CF32c86.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.537862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef7…9266backed Real Oviedo67c80.73$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.371580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0338backed Real Oviedo65c76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-61.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Real Oviedo66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761275%9 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8105…a0a5backed Real Madrid CF37c75.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2830%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Real Oviedo66c74.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8724546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Real Madrid CF32c74.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.932540%10 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Real Madrid CF34c73.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256836.8%25 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Real Madrid CF31c65.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012330.1%37 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a7…3fb0backed Real Oviedo64c62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.325100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e9d…1e4bbacked Real Madrid CF33c61.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Real Madrid CF33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.892345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Real Madrid CF32c59.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc1f…ab66backed Real Madrid CF32c59.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec7…ed98backed Real Madrid CF34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ee3…a899backed Real Madrid CF34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Real Madrid CF33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.517651.7%91 W · 85 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe720…2bb3backed Real Madrid CF30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa06f…cbadbacked Real Oviedo64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x24f1…6a07backed Real Oviedo70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e3…6761backed Real Oviedo67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.781566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+54.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Real Madrid CF36c44.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Real Madrid CF34c44.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.