TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,699
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,987

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,699 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over45c11,877$5,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,344.812132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under55c11,172$6,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,037.714146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over22c4,678$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.7357139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over45c4,418$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.746550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89ce…2edfbacked Under61c4,285$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.671070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Over45c3,664$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.581163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62b6…5de0backed Under56c2,631$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.921258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over46c2,502$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.371020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-63%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Under56c2,300$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0122263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over41c2,043$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.482030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over45c1,719$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.514250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c1,681$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.554,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c1,393$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.711,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over3c1,223$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6945841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Over44c1,194$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.513450%17 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under56c1,178$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.314852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Over45c1,134$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.484845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under55c1,100$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4957851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under58c1,067$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.483444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under55c999.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.994245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa23b…6d59backed Under74c966.62$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under56c930.81$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.7150449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over44c927.96$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.31942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f36…2819backed Under56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.86837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under78c873.48$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.732958.6%17 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c804.33$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.9964457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under55c774.2$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.3648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab2…41babacked Over39c726.67$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over17c723.67$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0222553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under55c718$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.128045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Under70c710$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2131963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Under73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.93560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c622.78$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.2444039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Under55c606.09$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over24c569.44$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.21,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc2c…a49cbacked Over45c568.09$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.6460%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fbc…095ebacked Over45c560.86$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.39633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under67c558.4$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.276334.9%22 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over30c419.66$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9240239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under75c410$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.54360.5%26 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x965b…1b6dbacked Under72c388.97$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over43c374.68$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1113163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Over14c334.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.89120%0 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Over45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69287.1%2 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-66.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.694973.5%36 W · 13 L+9.4wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.560832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over13c238.22$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6833544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over48c234.48$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3410843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over6c196$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8520241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over39c194$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.661,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under55c192.73$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.733458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over25c187.54$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5928138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over40c179.73$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6968450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfedf…e161backed Over45c174.56$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Under58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under56c159.08$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under57c149.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7524546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over45c134.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under73c134.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.581275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under55c130.06$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.451,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…2a5ebacked Over9c129.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.47110%0 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under56c128.57$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.579950.5%50 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over44c117.26$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.591,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over19c112.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.135119.6%10 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over45c108.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9319344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over47c103.09$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4592254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Over45c102.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbed…0ff6backed Under56c101.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4615344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f25…8a2fbacked Over44c94.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over34c90$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6937348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.335451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…4ee0backed Under56c76.79$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.79944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ad5…b130backed Over43c72.09$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over28c67.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8420441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over45c64.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6d…fc98backed Over20c63.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.872516%4 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over42c62.37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.22857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over42c60.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1445450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.611664.7%75 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under70c57.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.313262.5%20 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over36c56.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3174457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over35c56.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.69450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e93…2f9dbacked Over45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.572055%11 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under54c52.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9419358.5%113 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3323…f667backed Over42c52.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Over26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.174252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27d…6dfcbacked Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205945.8%27 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over42c46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2424048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.