TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,053
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,200

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,053 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x033f…618ebacked Yes1c15,248$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.481533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x89ce…2edfbacked No51c4,946$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,446.061070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes49c1,953$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.782,38148.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes34c1,841$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6254440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No68c1,538$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.951,45845.1%658 W · 800 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked No51c1,465$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.5912020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes49c1,311$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.094,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed Yes50c1,060$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Yes49c1,035$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.1211255.4%62 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked No71c1,031$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.9312638.9%49 W · 77 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7444…451bbacked Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes51c999.98$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.991741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes49c701.18$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.5813745.3%62 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes49c630.54$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.9632945.6%150 W · 179 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No65c616.74$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.3336744.7%164 W · 203 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes48c602.92$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9273549.7%365 W · 370 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes50c558.07$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.1251851.9%269 W · 249 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed No52c499.98$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.993743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed No51c443.84$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.912343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes35c427.68$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6911919.3%23 W · 96 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes49c425$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2511741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c1…2e70backed No49c420$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No51c380$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.248251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No59c379.31$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3910843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf9…86c5backed No53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No63c355.51$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.871,66943.8%731 W · 938 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2df…0bbfbacked No66c335.15$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.15714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-78.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes11c319$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5920241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab2…41babacked Yes49c311.12$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed No49c299.96$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1234…3bb3backed No62c298.07$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.764100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No50c281.23$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.5344838.4%172 W · 276 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d6…8267backed No53c253.8$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.291266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked No50c251.45$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.453339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes49c250.2$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.851,63551.6%844 W · 791 L-7.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes34c248.51$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2611820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No51c236.28$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.981,61238.4%619 W · 993 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa7…3fbabacked Yes14c228.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebfd…cba6backed Yes41c222.23$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.12944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Yes48c214.96$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes52c210$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.26457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e3…810cbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes48c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510752.3%56 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443c…692abacked No50c195.14$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+185.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed No52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312552%13 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked No51c167.77$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.214454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes10c151.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.247540.8%194 W · 281 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No49c150.56$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7940357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes50c146.79$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0722246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ce…9c25backed No74c139.43$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.25757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes35c139.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.823,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed No49c138.86$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.827960.8%48 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6011449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Yes47c108.68$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0894354.4%513 W · 430 L+2.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc365…03b4backed Yes50c104$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+109.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010450%52 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a5…bac4backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505945.8%27 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2718656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked No48c97.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.933342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes48c88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.241,08750.6%550 W · 537 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b9…61e7backed Yes51c82.69$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-58.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed No61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9721457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes18c81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3123740.1%95 W · 142 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes47c78.84$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9116962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No65c76.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4720161.7%124 W · 77 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed No53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.474454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3514552.4%76 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7667…fad9backed No70c68.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+56.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.412162.8%76 W · 45 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No51c59.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0280250.2%403 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21a4…0b9ebacked No51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd427…aa2ebacked No69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb70…01c0backed No52c57.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.291877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes52c56.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.542035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-31.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes49c55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.953836.8%14 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes30c52.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5420253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f48…f8c8backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed No52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245644.6%25 W · 31 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked No51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.024645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Yes49c48.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8613347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes49c44.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7522658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf6d…fc98backed Yes31c43.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.642516%4 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecda…6f0abacked Yes48c43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.644736.2%17 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…2a5ebacked Yes33c41.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.83110%0 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed No48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.676968.1%47 W · 22 L+10.1wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x88b0…5767backed Yes49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x353d…16eebacked No61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+81.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed No51c40.37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.784852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0a…c19ebacked No67c40.3$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.