NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7f37f5ee1423ce2c3b43cbb9eedd67a6da1c6f4dea1483e1410af3831a1f743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Timberwolves, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,302,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,162,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,302,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,527 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Spurs | 77c | 299,999$230,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,999.73 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Timberwolves | 22c | 265,000$59,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,354.09 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Timberwolves | 23c | 233,876$53,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,799 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spurs | 79c | 201,354$158,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,984.41 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 22c | 200,002$44,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,000.42 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Spurs | 77c | 157,264$121,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,930.62 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Timberwolves | 16c | 139,998$21,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,969.6 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…2194backed Timberwolves | 23c | 113,241$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…be3dbacked Timberwolves | 23c | 112,808$25,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,945.85 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves | 17c | 104,282$18,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,099.06 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…11a3backed Timberwolves | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Spurs | 77c | 100,000$77,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,999.95 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Timberwolves | 22c | 99,997$21,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,999.42 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Spurs | 76c | 98,436$75,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,139.3 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Timberwolves | 24c | 97,356$22,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,902.9 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Timberwolves | 23c | 80,000$18,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,400 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Spurs | 78c | 80,000$62,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,600 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Spurs | 77c | 70,000$53,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,100 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 78c | 65,035$50,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,404.01 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Timberwolves | 22c | 64,999$14,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,299.84 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Timberwolves | 1c | 63,823$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.36 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 78c | 63,298$49,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,018.45 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves | 24c | 54,711$13,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,229.26 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 14c | 53,827$7,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,519.58 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Timberwolves | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Timberwolves | 8c | 50,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…5e8abacked Spurs | 78c | 43,078$33,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,477.14 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3e…f880backed Timberwolves | 25c | 41,490$10,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,461.44 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Spurs | 74c | 39,666$29,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,278.47 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Timberwolves | 23c | 37,035$8,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,518 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Timberwolves | 22c | 33,999$7,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,479.88 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Timberwolves | 18c | 32,103$5,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,847.7 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Timberwolves | 23c | 30,101$7,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,022.26 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…e479backed Timberwolves | 17c | 29,399$4,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,854.11 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked Spurs | 77c | 28,889$22,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,644.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Timberwolves | 0c | 26,803$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Timberwolves | 24c | 26,006$6,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,241.45 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…45c6backed Spurs | 78c | 25,641$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,641.03 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Timberwolves | 22c | 25,000$5,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,450 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Spurs | 79c | 23,777$18,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,988.5 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Timberwolves | 2c | 23,283$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Timberwolves | 22c | 22,041$4,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,856.65 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Timberwolves | 25c | 22,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…01bcbacked Timberwolves | 24c | 21,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 78c | 20,469$15,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,586.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 20,371$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.19 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721f…748bbacked Timberwolves | 0c | 19,805$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…5318backed Timberwolves | 23c | 19,781$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,549.74 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Spurs | 78c | 19,602$15,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312.54 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Spurs | 78c | 19,000$14,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,180 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Spurs | 78c | 18,326$14,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,031.71 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…1809backed Spurs | 78c | 18,000$14,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Timberwolves | 23c | 17,000$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,910 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Timberwolves | 1c | 15,700$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.89 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Timberwolves | 9c | 15,290$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.32 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…0d8cbacked Timberwolves | 22c | 15,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.98 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Spurs | 78c | 14,989$11,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,297.61 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Spurs | 77c | 14,720$11,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385.56 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Timberwolves | 16c | 14,624$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.76 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Timberwolves | 0c | 14,600$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Spurs | 78c | 14,049$10,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.86 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Timberwolves | 1c | 12,900$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed Timberwolves | 23c | 12,850$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.6 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Timberwolves | 22c | 12,642$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.05 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Timberwolves | 2c | 11,036$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.56 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Spurs | 77c | 11,000$8,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Timberwolves | 23c | 10,870$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…1090backed Timberwolves | 23c | 10,759$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 23c | 10,350$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1815…e217backed Timberwolves | 0c | 10,313$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Spurs | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fa…78b8backed Timberwolves | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…c3c7backed Timberwolves | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Timberwolves | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.93 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Spurs | 78c | 9,400$7,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d215backed Timberwolves | 23c | 9,400$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Timberwolves | 1c | 9,365$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Timberwolves | 1c | 9,324$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cf…f964backed Timberwolves | 23c | 9,322$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…9e7cbacked Timberwolves | 23c | 9,126$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.87 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Spurs | 77c | 9,100$7,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Timberwolves | 15c | 9,087$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs | 80c | 8,996$7,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.27 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Timberwolves | 26c | 8,953$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.32 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Timberwolves | 23c | 8,744$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves | 20c | 8,729$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.71 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 77c | 8,500$6,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Timberwolves | 2c | 8,074$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 295 | 47.5%140 W · 155 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Timberwolves | 23c | 8,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.98 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5074…0493backed Spurs | 77c | 7,999$6,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…c5b0backed Timberwolves | 22c | 7,996$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Timberwolves | 7c | 7,836$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.69 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Spurs | 78c | 7,661$5,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.51 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Timberwolves | 21c | 7,500$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.71 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Timberwolves | 18c | 7,179$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.88 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spurs | 78c | 7,167$5,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.84 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 79c | 7,141$5,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.42 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Spurs | 77c | 6,979$5,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.08 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…d00ebacked Timberwolves | 23c | 6,957$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Spurs | 80c | 6,949$5,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.88 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Spursthis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.