Asian League · resolved market
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e9ca7db9af3e6caad9b539abdc8d20a9aa7798f5202439d5225187553cddc3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 71c | 20,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 29c | 18,362$5,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,329.58 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked No | 30c | 7,077$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.14 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 31c | 5,957$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 71c | 5,607$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.93 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Yes | 70c | 2,949$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.69 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 13c | 2,071$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.11 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 69c | 1,942$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.97 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 1,704$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.16 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 70c | 1,559$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.38 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed No | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 71c | 1,404$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.11 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 29c | 1,161$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.61 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 70c | 1,071$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.71 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 73c | 842.97$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.6 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 69c | 565.57$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.05 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked No | 30c | 440$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 31c | 431.57$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.59 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 25c | 420.05$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 73c | 418.4$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.97 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 72c | 416.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 70c | 401.48$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.44 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 29c | 385.58$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.13 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 69c | 374.1$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.97 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 28c | 344$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 69c | 334.74$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 30c | 334$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 29c | 299.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 29c | 240$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 70c | 177.94$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed No | 31c | 161.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 73c | 156.33$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 71c | 142.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed No | 32c | 140.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed No | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 73c | 136.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec1d…3c7dbacked Yes | 72c | 131.81$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 73c | 118.62$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…30dcbacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 77c | 98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 72c | 91.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 29c | 89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 70c | 88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Yes | 60c | 78.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 29c | 77.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 28c | 72.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 70c | 52.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 73c | 47.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0a…8a73backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 73c | 40.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 74c | 39.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 73c | 38.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…da9ebacked Yes | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9124…7a4dbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed Yes | 73c | 22.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed Yes | 73c | 21.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 71c | 21.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 61c | 21.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…0e72backed Yes | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f27…d00abacked Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…98e4backed Yes | 73c | 20.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 73c | 19.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Yes | 73c | 16.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…2241backed Yes | 70c | 15.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Yes | 70c | 14.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…e0c9backed Yes | 71c | 14.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 74c | 13.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-15?this page
- Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.