TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x29cf…2d4c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$91.97
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.05
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.29
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$71.42
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$100.63
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$42.42
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.99
Mavericks vs. Raptorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.58
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+35.1%+$49.29
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$33.44
Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100.55
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.71
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.74
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.16
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$886.58
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+195%+$215.81
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.87
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$73.85
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.42
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.67
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$100.74
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.13
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.15
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$79.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.12
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.84
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$114.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$89.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$44.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.