Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x581510e2ce2b2994454097aa4eb3f05532c5859b709c3a3c088948e1a99268b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 68c | 21,318$14,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,878.27 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 28c | 16,660$4,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,664.7 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 3c | 15,781$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.42 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 30c | 15,184$4,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,504.32 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 70c | 14,229$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 30c | 13,342$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975.42 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 32c | 12,503$3,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,963.78 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 71c | 12,500$8,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 30c | 11,600$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 71c | 8,443$5,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.53 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yes | 69c | 7,697$5,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 32c | 7,616$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.22 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 31c | 7,091$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.14 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 32c | 4,098$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.25 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 12c | 2,960$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.2 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 2,937$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.25 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 68c | 2,933$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.46 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 32c | 2,688$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.3 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 30c | 2,440$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.44 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 3c | 2,172$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 30c | 2,016$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.7 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…2a01backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 76c | 1,986$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.05 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 70c | 1,808$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.86 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…6632backed Yes | 71c | 1,699$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 30c | 1,624$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.62 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes | 71c | 1,407$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc677…414bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,319$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 3c | 1,156$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…c16fbacked No | 30c | 1,010$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…f2bfbacked No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 69c | 999.97$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes | 70c | 980.31$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 72c | 833.33$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…ae8ebacked Yes | 71c | 750$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8a…4e15backed Yes | 71c | 680$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 66c | 669.08$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.56 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 71c | 619.71$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.72 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 32c | 590.7$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.02 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1d…f7e4backed Yes | 71c | 580$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x812d…8f72backed No | 30c | 550$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed No | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 68c | 465.89$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.15 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…a85fbacked No | 33c | 441.88$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Yes | 71c | 436.1$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 35c | 408.01$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 71c | 400$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…cb66backed No | 32c | 380.16$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53f…4edebacked No | 32c | 369.56$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…ba75backed No | 32c | 346$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +112%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29cf…2d4cbacked No | 33c | 345.85$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 68c | 330.04$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 30c | 304.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…185fbacked Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Yes | 70c | 286.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 32c | 270$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f1…d04cbacked No | 30c | 266.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ad…8c85backed Yes | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…e1b2backed No | 29c | 249.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 32c | 230$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 32c | 225$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed No | 30c | 217.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…f0c8backed Yes | 70c | 215.1$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Yes | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 28c | 199.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 64c | 195.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed No | 15c | 193.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 32c | 180$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 34c | 179.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes | 70c | 178.55$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd452…5eefbacked Yes | 68c | 176.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 72c | 174.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ee…0991backed Yes | 72c | 173.61$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 70c | 167$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 69c | 166.16$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43b…7bc6backed Yes | 69c | 165.64$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…22c3backed Yes | 71c | 165.11$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…b9d7backed No | 31c | 161$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4f…2346backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 30c | 158.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…1bf2backed Yes | 64c | 156.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…ced4backed Yes | 71c | 156.31$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked No | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 71c | 154.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed No | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.