NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x802b90bf068f01a7011f20a8c2bbac4d0eb1bd3d8740c843b2fcb8c949544d69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Mavericks, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,519,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,519,497 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 957 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Mavericks | 22c | 231,818$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,999.91 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Raptors | 78c | 96,154$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,153.9 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Mavericks | 20c | 59,840$11,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,869.41 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 78c | 52,358$40,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,443.94 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 78c | 44,828$35,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,791.88 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Mavericks | 22c | 41,026$8,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,898.08 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks | 22c | 37,233$8,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,191.32 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Mavericks | 23c | 31,919$7,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,292.21 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mavericks | 0c | 26,877$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 78c | 25,443$19,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,474.54 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Mavericks | 0c | 25,229$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors | 77c | 21,343$16,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,908.87 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Raptors | 78c | 20,000$15,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300.09 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 78c | 19,687$15,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.57 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Mavericks | 22c | 19,000$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.98 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Raptors | 78c | 18,504$14,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,097.39 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…3846backed Raptors | 79c | 18,000$14,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850.13 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…7dfbbacked Mavericks | 21c | 18,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mavericks | 22c | 15,221$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348.4 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Mavericks | 3c | 14,394$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.07 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Raptors | 78c | 13,813$10,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.12 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 78c | 13,112$10,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.36 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…816ebacked Raptors | 79c | 12,725$10,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fc12backed Mavericks | 21c | 12,119$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.01 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks | 23c | 11,572$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.42 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Raptors | 78c | 10,590$8,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.81 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Raptors | 80c | 9,650$7,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.3 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…73d5backed Mavericks | 22c | 9,301$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Raptors | 78c | 9,300$7,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.98 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors | 77c | 9,207$7,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.82 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 15c | 9,176$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Raptors | 79c | 9,114$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.92 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked Mavericks | 22c | 8,912$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 164 | 21.3%35 W · 129 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Mavericks | 23c | 8,888$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.24 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks | 22c | 8,699$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.71 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Raptors | 78c | 8,539$6,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.12 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Mavericks | 22c | 8,460$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.42 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mavericks | 1c | 8,429$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b0…48f3backed Mavericks | 5c | 8,402$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.1 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mavericks | 0c | 8,330$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Mavericks | 22c | 8,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.8 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x803e…2059backed Mavericks | 22c | 7,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Mavericks | 22c | 7,014$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.07 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Mavericks | 21c | 7,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.9 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Mavericks | 14c | 6,999$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.88 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks | 0c | 6,600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Mavericks | 22c | 6,377$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.94 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Raptors | 79c | 6,045$4,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.45 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Mavericks | 16c | 5,749$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.19 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Raptors | 78c | 5,536$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.99 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks | 12c | 5,253$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.33 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Mavericks | 22c | 5,227$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Raptors | 77c | 5,084$3,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.79 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…66fbbacked Mavericks | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…c282backed Mavericks | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…4f83backed Mavericks | 20c | 4,991$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Raptors | 78c | 4,985$3,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.53 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…e29dbacked Raptors | 79c | 4,901$3,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Mavericks | 22c | 4,666$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.52 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Mavericks | 20c | 4,662$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.44 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8436…4c19backed Raptors | 78c | 4,500$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Mavericks | 21c | 4,493$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.31 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 23c | 4,250$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed Raptors | 80c | 4,200$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.72 | 147 | 38.1%56 W · 91 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Mavericks | 21c | 4,197$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.72 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors | 79c | 4,006$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.45 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0311…e202backed Raptors | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Mavericks | 9c | 3,993$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.9 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Mavericks | 21c | 3,905$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.23 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…f42fbacked Raptors | 79c | 3,900$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Mavericks | 21c | 3,829$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.57 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b1…aea0backed Mavericks | 21c | 3,800$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Mavericks | 21c | 3,616$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.08 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Raptors | 79c | 3,575$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.68 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…1dc6backed Raptors | 79c | 3,500$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Mavericks | 21c | 3,456$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.89 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Mavericks | 19c | 3,406$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.32 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Raptors | 79c | 3,315$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.21 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mavericks | 13c | 3,266$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.48 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Mavericks | 22c | 3,155$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.14 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Mavericks | 21c | 3,141$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.99 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Mavericks | 21c | 3,056$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.12 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92fe…99bdbacked Raptors | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb047…fb7ebacked Mavericks | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Raptors | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3383…c5c0backed Mavericks | 22c | 2,999$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.89 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Mavericks | 21c | 2,906$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.93 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Raptors | 80c | 2,894$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.82 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Raptors | 78c | 2,868$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.01 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Mavericks | 21c | 2,806$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.26 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Mavericks | 22c | 2,723$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.56 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mavericks | 6c | 2,636$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.17 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Mavericks | 21c | 2,500$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.99 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks | 11c | 2,473$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.25 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Mavericks | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8efc…65c0backed Mavericks | 22c | 2,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…d5b8backed Raptors | 80c | 2,100$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a69…3d57backed Mavericks | 21c | 2,100$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Raptors | 78c | 2,015$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.32 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Raptorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 212.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 213.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5Under won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-14.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-20.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.