TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Mavericks, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,519,497

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,519,497 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 957 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Mavericks22c231,818$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,999.9143542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Raptors78c96,154$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,153.936549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Mavericks20c59,840$11,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,869.414619.6%9 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors78c52,358$40,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,443.941,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors78c44,828$35,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,791.884,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Mavericks22c41,026$8,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,898.0832540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks22c37,233$8,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,191.3287144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Mavericks23c31,919$7,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,292.2117050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Mavericks0c26,877$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.847211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors78c25,443$19,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,474.542,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Mavericks0c25,229$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5727917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors77c21,343$16,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,908.871,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Raptors78c20,000$15,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,300.098953.9%48 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors78c19,687$15,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,333.572,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Mavericks22c19,000$4,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,179.9874748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Raptors78c18,504$14,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,097.391,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Raptors79c18,000$14,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,850.136943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ceb…7dfbbacked Mavericks21c18,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,849.922646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Mavericks22c15,221$3,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,348.41,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Mavericks3c14,394$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.075213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Raptors78c13,813$10,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,039.122,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors78c13,112$10,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,929.364,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2133…816ebacked Raptors79c12,725$10,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.991662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Mavericks21c12,119$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.016333.3%21 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks23c11,572$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.4246928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Raptors78c10,590$8,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,329.8148352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Raptors80c9,650$7,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,963.326353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Mavericks22c9,301$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0465444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Raptors78c9,300$7,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.988441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors77c9,207$7,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.822,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks15c9,176$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Raptors79c9,114$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,913.9213063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Mavericks22c8,912$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016421.3%35 W · 129 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Mavericks23c8,888$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.249343%40 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks22c8,699$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.712,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Raptors78c8,539$6,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.1251354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Mavericks22c8,460$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.4261336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Mavericks1c8,429$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8367911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b0…48f3backed Mavericks5c8,402$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.111247.3%53 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Mavericks0c8,330$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7164517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Mavericks22c8,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.832039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x803e…2059backed Mavericks22c7,500$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Mavericks22c7,014$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.0725138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Mavericks21c7,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.927424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Mavericks14c6,999$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.881,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks0c6,600$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Mavericks22c6,377$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.9440035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Raptors79c6,045$4,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.452060%12 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Mavericks16c5,749$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.1980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Raptors78c5,536$4,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.997455.4%41 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks12c5,253$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.333,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Mavericks22c5,227$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15050239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Raptors77c5,084$3,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.7917554.9%96 W · 79 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x045c…66fbbacked Mavericks21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0502240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78ae…c282backed Mavericks0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6847…4f83backed Mavericks20c4,991$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.881450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Raptors78c4,985$3,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.5389444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf7…e29dbacked Raptors79c4,901$3,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Mavericks22c4,666$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.5241832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Mavericks20c4,662$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.4462347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8436…4c19backed Raptors78c4,500$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9903366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+55.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Mavericks21c4,493$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.3161939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks23c4,250$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Raptors80c4,200$3,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.7214738.1%56 W · 91 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Mavericks21c4,197$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.7211843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors79c4,006$3,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.451,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0311…e202backed Raptors78c4,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.05366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Mavericks9c3,993$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.92619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-52.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Mavericks21c3,905$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.2346940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51da…f42fbacked Raptors79c3,900$3,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8191855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Mavericks21c3,829$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.5786641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61b1…aea0backed Mavericks21c3,800$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7982152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Mavericks21c3,616$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.0813435.8%48 W · 86 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Raptors79c3,575$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.6832450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0882…1dc6backed Raptors79c3,500$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.97955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Mavericks21c3,456$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.8958740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Mavericks19c3,406$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.3242335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Raptors79c3,315$2,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.2116370.6%115 W · 48 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mavericks13c3,266$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.481,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Mavericks22c3,155$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1411342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Mavericks21c3,141$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.9938540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Mavericks21c3,056$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.1222637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92fe…99bdbacked Raptors78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6602441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb047…fb7ebacked Mavericks21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6301050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Raptors78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66023348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3383…c5c0backed Mavericks22c2,999$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.897837.2%29 W · 49 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Mavericks21c2,906$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.9330840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Raptors80c2,894$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.8219954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Raptors78c2,868$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.014143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Mavericks21c2,806$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.2643438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Mavericks22c2,723$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.5618343.7%80 W · 103 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Mavericks6c2,636$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.171,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Mavericks21c2,500$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.9965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks11c2,473$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.251,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Mavericks22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8efc…65c0backed Mavericks22c2,100$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20c7…d5b8backed Raptors80c2,100$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a69…3d57backed Mavericks21c2,100$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4411952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Raptors78c2,015$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.3220352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.