NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f910e7569085fbde3639fe176c1c2fdc0457dad89a5aeb4ce49db1f09745e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $342,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,790 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Raptors | 49c | 125,608$61,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,015.66 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks | 52c | 59,011$30,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,509.1 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mavericks | 53c | 57,010$30,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,214.99 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 47c | 47,189$22,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,010.28 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 47c | 19,662$9,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,330.51 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Mavericks | 52c | 16,000$8,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,239.97 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Mavericks | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Mavericks | 53c | 8,651$4,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,626.64 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mavericks | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 52c | 7,115$3,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,664.67 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 48c | 6,828$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,579.11 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Mavericks | 50c | 6,000$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors | 50c | 5,627$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.62 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Mavericks | 51c | 5,490$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.5 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 47c | 4,953$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.85 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 4,520$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.1 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Raptors | 47c | 4,227$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.39 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.77 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 50c | 3,958$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.81 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Mavericks | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.87 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Mavericks | 52c | 3,661$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.97 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 47c | 3,026$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.86 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Mavericks | 50c | 2,809$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.26 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 51c | 2,651$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Mavericks | 52c | 2,506$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.09 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks | 51c | 2,348$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.26 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Raptors | 46c | 2,070$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.72 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 51c | 2,019$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.91 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Mavericks | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mavericks | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 49c | 1,910$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.1 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Mavericks | 53c | 1,841$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.77 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 1,810$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.2 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Mavericks | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.98 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors | 46c | 1,496$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.24 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Mavericks | 53c | 1,288$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.64 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,188$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.43 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,136$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.21 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,100$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Raptors | 49c | 1,070$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.7 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Mavericks | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…3939backed Mavericks | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 52c | 875$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.25 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 52c | 809.65$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.04 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Mavericks | 51c | 808$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.04 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Raptors | 47c | 744.82$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.82 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mavericks | 27c | 620.34$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Mavericks | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks | 33c | 560.64$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.66 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Mavericks | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Mavericks | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Mavericks | 52c | 480.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Raptors | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Mavericks | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Raptors | 47c | 397.43$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.64 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Raptors | 47c | 381.85$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.38 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Mavericks | 53c | 376$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.69 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Mavericks | 52c | 322.63$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.27 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Mavericks | 35c | 318.79$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mavericks | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Raptors | 47c | 299.36$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.66 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Mavericks | 53c | 286.42$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.05 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Mavericks | 50c | 255.12$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Raptors | 71c | 234.26$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Raptors | 48c | 213.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.32 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Mavericks | 53c | 208.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Mavericks | 52c | 206$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Mavericks | 52c | 205.34$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.72 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mavericks | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Mavericks | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Mavericks | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Mavericks | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mavericks | 53c | 198$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Raptors | 48c | 196.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Mavericks | 53c | 188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Raptors | 48c | 185.95$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.69 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mavericks | 50c | 181.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Mavericks | 52c | 176.43$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a0…bf2cbacked Raptors | 48c | 176$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c0…aa2dbacked Raptors | 48c | 173$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Mavericks | 53c | 169.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Mavericks | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Raptors | 62c | 159.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Mavericks | 49c | 157.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 150.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Mavericks | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Mavericks | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Mavericks | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Raptors | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Raptors | 51c | 147.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Raptors | 47c | 147$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Mavericks | 52c | 140.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Raptors | 49c | 138.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Mavericks | 54c | 116.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Raptors | 47c | 113.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Raptors | 49c | 106$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Raptors | 48c | 104.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 103.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 212.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 213.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5Under won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-14.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-20.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.