NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19c7f011c02679c8348143a3c708d32100ff7dbfee5e0d2437b3be7ca680dd70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,285 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 70,000$34,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,300 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Under | 50c | 49,661$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,660.84 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 31,791$16,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,038.21 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 20,008$10,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,021.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Over | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 55c | 12,769$7,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,015.95 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 9,630$4,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,982.26 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 51c | 9,215$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 8,285$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,170.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 7,770$3,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,883.93 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Under | 50c | 7,235$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.04 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 45c | 5,672$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.52 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 4,880$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.26 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 4,326$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under | 53c | 4,114$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.95 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Over | 55c | 3,500$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 58c | 3,276$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.08 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.96 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 58c | 2,777$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.54 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.15 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,498$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 1,400$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.91 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 50c | 1,380$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked Under | 45c | 920$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 900$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 51c | 854.16$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.62 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 612.33$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.66 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 565.52$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.93 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 542.13$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.83 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Under | 35c | 437$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.05 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 51c | 400$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 15c | 380$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 49c | 360$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 15c | 321.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 35c | 303.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Under | 51c | 296.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.08 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Over | 75c | 285.79$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.03 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 12c | 274.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 50c | 262.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.84 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 49c | 252.89$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.97 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 20c | 251.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.2 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…5e1bbacked Over | 52c | 238.46$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 72c | 232.63$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.56 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 33c | 221.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 214.81$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…d068backed Over | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 42c | 200.58$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…2c56backed Under | 42c | 192.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 48c | 191.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 52c | 160.53$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Over | 51c | 156$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 143$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Over | 70c | 141$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 49c | 124.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 48c | 123.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Under | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Over | 69c | 108.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 52c | 103.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 48c | 102.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 51c | 102$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fa…97a9backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Under | 50c | 98.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 51c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 96.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 49c | 81.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…f88bbacked Under | 49c | 78.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 32c | 76.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 73.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 51c | 69.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Over | 51c | 67.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 45c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 58.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b21…05ecbacked Over | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 40c | 55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 32c | 54.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 212.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 213.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5Under won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-14.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-20.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.