TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$348,285

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,285 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c70,000$34,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,3001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Under50c49,661$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,660.8436549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c31,791$16,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,038.212,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c20,008$10,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,021.674,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Over52c15,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8001,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over55c12,769$7,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,015.9543542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c9,630$4,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,982.264,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Over51c9,215$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c8,285$4,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,170.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c7,770$3,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,883.932,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Under50c7,235$3,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,591.048444%37 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under45c5,672$2,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.5224744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c4,880$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.266,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c4,326$2,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1631,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under53c4,114$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,913.9512855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over55c3,500$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,94016633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over58c3,276$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.082,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.9613954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over58c2,777$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.5451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under42c2,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45047542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over51c1,765$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.152,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Under47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7958657%49 W · 37 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c1,498$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.894,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c1,400$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.913,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over50c1,380$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69070246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60033146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked Under45c920$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over51c900$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46284150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over51c854.16$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.6217850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c612.33$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.662,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30049345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over46c565.52$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.933,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c542.13$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.833,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Under35c437$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.052259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over51c400$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20222746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.921,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over15c380$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.71,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under49c360$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.610940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over15c321.28$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.192,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under35c303.91$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.83,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Under51c296.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.085257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Over75c285.79$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.036872.1%49 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over12c274.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.911,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under53c264.15$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1526048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under50c262.47$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.8420838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Under49c252.89$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9740546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under20c251.83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.240243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf735…5e1bbacked Over52c238.46$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over72c232.63$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5614155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under33c221.45$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2745452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under47c214.81$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.811,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c2…d068backed Over51c205.88$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084540%18 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under42c200.58$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.341,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10029554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84c…2c56backed Under42c192.86$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.86812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-70.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Over48c191.7$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0212552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Over52c160.53$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4883158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Over51c156$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5623950.6%121 W · 118 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Under49c153.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0615154.3%82 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c143$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.072,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Over70c141$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3942335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under49c124.59$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5435843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under48c123.83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3976552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5510955%60 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Over69c108.05$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1914456.3%81 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over52c103.46$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.376250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under48c102.18$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5464844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over51c102$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0228243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fa…97a9backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5111652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Under49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Under50c98.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.925651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under51c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5367248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c96.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.347247.2%34 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over49c81.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.921,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7045…f88bbacked Under49c78.47$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.022259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under32c76.41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.31,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over51c73.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under51c69.96$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9654854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Over51c67.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3323349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under45c65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7546447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307847.4%37 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2293145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3012159.5%72 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under51c58.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.031,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b21…05ecbacked Over52c58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.163033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under40c55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3365630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under32c54.44$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.131,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Under41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.510349.5%51 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.