NBA · resolved market
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 18.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa68e2deebe79b3a44ec44102c2e57d543ed3db2c018508e99941e5344fa4937d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,926 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3d…a3e8backed Yes | 25c | 1,189$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.74 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 76c | 1,164$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.16 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 74c | 760.85$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.82 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…f56cbacked Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed No | 76c | 439.47$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…7353backed Yes | 23c | 428.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 76c | 338.61$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Yes | 23c | 232$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…8357backed Yes | 26c | 231.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1e…0673backed Yes | 23c | 192.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 77c | 112.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 75c | 85.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…ba18backed Yes | 23c | 74.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 73c | 69.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…5eb6backed Yes | 28c | 58.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 76c | 52.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…ea64backed Yes | 27c | 50.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…0b63backed Yes | 26c | 47.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Yes | 52c | 46.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 48c | 46.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 78c | 46.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 75c | 45.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 77c | 38.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…22b8backed No | 61c | 22.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 18.5this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 212.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 213.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5Under won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-14.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-20.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.