NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0556f8184211ef7a9ac20a5ddf1d18d3a84f76be2939f07a4326b96be657af01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $899,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $899,708 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 51c | 505,905$258,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247,893.87 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks | 49c | 496,555$243,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243,311.95 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Mavericks | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,999.95 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…f88ebacked Raptors | 54c | 32,757$17,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,221.47 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Raptors | 52c | 22,058$11,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,591.58 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors | 51c | 20,261$10,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,935.5 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Raptors | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,608.06 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Mavericks | 49c | 19,602$9,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,604.97 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks | 49c | 18,326$8,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,981.25 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Raptors | 51c | 15,959$8,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,819.79 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 51c | 14,111$7,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,954.73 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Raptors | 51c | 13,303$6,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,518.39 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 50c | 12,885$6,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,383.85 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Raptors | 51c | 12,435$6,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,092.96 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 51c | 11,346$5,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,565.59 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Mavericks | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 51c | 7,283$3,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,576.56 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Raptors | 51c | 7,267$3,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560.83 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Mavericks | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.99 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 51c | 6,869$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,365.81 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Raptors | 51c | 6,000$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raptors | 51c | 5,814$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.38 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 5,740$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Raptors | 51c | 5,047$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.82 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 49c | 4,330$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.91 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Mavericks | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Mavericks | 48c | 3,774$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.39 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 50c | 3,570$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Mavericks | 47c | 3,283$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.21 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 2,662$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.21 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Mavericks | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Raptors | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks | 46c | 1,859$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Mavericks | 49c | 1,829$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.98 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,747$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.3 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,624$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.95 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks | 6c | 1,381$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Raptors | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.75 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks | 49c | 1,175$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.89 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Mavericks | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Raptors | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Mavericks | 47c | 842.62$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.03 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Raptors | 50c | 709$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.5 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Mavericks | 48c | 599.98$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Mavericks | 50c | 594.01$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.35 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Raptors | 55c | 545.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.82 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Mavericks | 50c | 526.36$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.18 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 522.87$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.44 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mavericks | 48c | 445.37$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.38 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Mavericks | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Mavericks | 49c | 411$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.39 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Mavericks | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Mavericks | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Raptors | 52c | 404$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.92 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 400.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Raptors | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Mavericks | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Raptors | 51c | 363.31$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.02 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Mavericks | 49c | 347.9$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.47 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Raptors | 53c | 325$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Raptors | 51c | 323.89$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.51 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Raptors | 52c | 310.47$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.36 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Mavericks | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors | 52c | 291.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.42 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Raptors | 51c | 271.63$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.89 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Raptors | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Raptors | 53c | 201$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Mavericks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Raptors | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Mavericks | 50c | 199.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Mavericks | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Raptors | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Raptors | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 194.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Mavericks | 47c | 173.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…55a4backed Mavericks | 51c | 166$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7608…92e2backed Raptors | 50c | 166$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Raptors | 51c | 147.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Raptors | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Mavericks | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Raptors | 51c | 127$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Mavericks | 50c | 126.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors | 50c | 120.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks | 45c | 120.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Raptors | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Raptors | 52c | 114.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Raptors | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Mavericks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Mavericks | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedde…7753backed Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Raptors | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Raptors | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 212.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 213.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5Under won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-14.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-20.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.