TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ccd…d915

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$78.99
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$68.7
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$856Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$890.59
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$83.77
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.15
Utah vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.7
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.4
Rangers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.45
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$167.86
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$12.59
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+47.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$109.54
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112.99
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.42
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$41.6
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$54.46
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$39.28
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$38.24
All 7 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$93.31
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)backed Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.41
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)backed Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.22
Kentucky Wildcats vs. South Carolina Gamecocksbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.92
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$65.4
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.16
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.72
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.25
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$59.64
Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.01
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+96.1%+$15.31
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$39.65
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.2
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$71.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.