TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$172,948

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,948 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed Yes24c45,738$10,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,977.124940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed No76c44,512$33,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,680.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c19,075$14,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,578.51,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes25c12,066$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.715048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c9,490$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.7387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No73c6,850$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.5977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes24c3,579$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.9471140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Yes29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed No78c3,250$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.063964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes25c1,571$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.8328448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No76c1,518$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.323050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c1,446$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.8552550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes26c1,352$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.652729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c1,331$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.8838056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked No76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcb…8709backed Yes8c1,201$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c1,115$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.611,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes20c1,095$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3526040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked No80c1,039$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed No79c1,008$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.613256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No78c1,000$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2253748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.8511735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No76c822.64$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4720150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked No78c576.92$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No79c576$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes23c514.35$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.31533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes23c499.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11413844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes11c455.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50100%0 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xecd8…a07dbacked Yes26c413.85$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d6…d0c0backed Yes24c376.1$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ad…fc45backed Yes25c363.94$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16fa…6d0dbacked Yes28c357.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes29c346.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No77c321.27$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8929949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No75c309.8$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.952236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6610838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6614045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6927244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x269f…c358backed No80c234.51$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No79c227.91$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.91944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No74c220.72$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3921144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5231049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462528%7 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes21c199.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424050%20 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes14c194.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.34122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes13c192.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Yes21c171$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.912133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes22c163.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0433148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes28c159$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.874841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccd…d915backed No75c158.62$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Yes29c153.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.32966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes23c152.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.317251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes23c152.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.429256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked No75c151.73$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.931450%7 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e28…cf34backed Yes22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.471330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1094…f1f5backed No77c145.8$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes23c145$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.352334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x66ef…c510backed No76c141.19$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.894372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf1…7221backed No75c133.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Yes27c130.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes23c130.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9114247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf552…a811backed No76c125.03$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes20c122.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243912.8%5 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52a5…dd82backed No75c121.94$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd21d…c529backed No77c119.36$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Yes17c114.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.444141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Yes25c114$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-50.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes25c111.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8545233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes27c110.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.979450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4953…43e2backed No77c110.94$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f9…c78fbacked Yes27c100.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe577…6c42backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273070%21 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0bb…60c2backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.071764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36e4…8f38backed No76c97.72$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+82.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x449e…4f8ebacked No76c97$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.281060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes25c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.615747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf1…23c6backed Yes26c88.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.021526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-38.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes25c87.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1718155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Yes28c84.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.692825%7 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7aec…2020backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes24c82.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7527049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed No72c78.46$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.12862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed No78c77.02$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.02666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5649…99adbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed No72c75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No78c69.13$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2718245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed No74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.571275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No77c64.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9326550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked No79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.293948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No79c62.3$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2422854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1dc…4f72backed No78c55$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.351154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…03ffbacked Yes27c50.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1110855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.