TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,462 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes39c17,539$6,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,690.1271140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Yes29c16,038$4,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,384.064940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes38c14,958$5,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,340.8415048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes29c11,051$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,868.6652550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No71c10,721$7,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,611.943450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No71c10,350$7,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,348.55040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed No43c8,000$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4401421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-57.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed No71c7,042$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed No73c5,480$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.43767.6%25 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No71c3,400$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,413.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+53.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No71c3,077$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.422842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes30c2,359$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.633650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c2,343$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,686.7587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes43c2,227$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.721,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No48c2,034$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.1537638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed No71c1,661$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No71c1,500$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0651668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No25c1,442$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.3862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.912152.4%11 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick70cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No71c1,243$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.181145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes28c1,183$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.629949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed No71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c937.2$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.8538056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes62c893.66$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.2148649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes29c768$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.2817043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c732.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.5328448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No14c600$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e5…f012backed Yes29c517.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.24333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe9…1f9cbacked Yes28c435.16$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadc9…eb69backed Yes28c431.58$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Yes59c410.61$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.342352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.833938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d7…6c5bbacked Yes28c341.89$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No72c300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21610838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No72c300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21614045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed No73c268.9$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick75cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes29c255.17$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.179846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes29c251.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.052236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes29c240$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.495747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes28c202.64$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.927748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed No7c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.35333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6815455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14431049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+53.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes28c199.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14413844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecc3…f5ffbacked No73c183.63$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No78c169.67$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0926040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9fd…9dfabacked No73c160.66$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes64c156.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.491586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick69cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes58c156.24$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9218155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2827…5139backed No73c155.23$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e28…cf34backed Yes28c150$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.731330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c148$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.541,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee52…1817backed No73c142.91$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes30c141.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.329450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd810…cf07backed No73c137.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes28c127.37$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.727049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad3c…214dbacked No73c119.55$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed No15c113.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-54.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Yes22c113.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.612040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Yes29c113$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.231723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-50.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfc1a…b35cbacked No73c112.89$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x801d…a8f0backed No73c109.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes43c107$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6935650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0bb…60c2backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked No50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes28c89.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.291435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff56…8609backed No73c87.29$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed No63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No32c74.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.541931.6%6 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2944…031abacked Yes30c73.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.58333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b7…de43backed Yes29c70$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e3…afc9backed No61c68.69$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.18666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes28c65.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2233148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No72c63.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3418245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a0…3762backed Yes75c55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.93100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No70c50.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.211752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7510855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3522340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No72c49.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7420454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Yes61c49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.112759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Yes29c45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.952152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No73c44.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.51580%12 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No53c41.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6122854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No26c41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75832.8%19 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked No50c40.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.271827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed Yes78c38.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.56475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No72c37.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.29863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No55c33.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.416368.3%43 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes39c33.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2817817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed No45c32.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.692035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes68c30.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6913246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No71c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.34969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No65c28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.073644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes54c26.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.392259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.425356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Yes42c24.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.461070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+90.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c01…0436backed No71c20.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.