TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,250,486

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,250,486 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes52c475,396$247,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247,201.711154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked No52c298,603$156,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142,534.291070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes46c80,000$36,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,8003348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No48c70,000$33,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,4004459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No53c49,499$26,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,342.713557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes33c43,326$14,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,227.511,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes19c35,852$6,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,811.937638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes47c35,281$16,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,483.6587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes40c32,976$13,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,202.2871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes48c28,681$13,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,833.379159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Yes19c25,975$4,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,935.261560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes48c24,917$11,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,955.9652550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes50c21,770$10,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,885.121144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes50c17,885$8,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,944.51952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes44c14,339$6,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,33515048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Yes50c13,200$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6001266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No56c11,200$6,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9283450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes50c11,200$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6002661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No56c9,943$5,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,375.151478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+37.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes40c8,639$3,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4861361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes46c7,776$3,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,576.9612839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No48c7,500$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,90013348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No48c7,446$3,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,871.685642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No50c7,074$3,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,558.8915455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Yes24c6,601$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.16714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-55.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No48c6,215$2,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,231.873256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Yes44c6,050$2,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,691.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes45c6,000$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6806553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes44c5,983$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650.9924044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes44c5,343$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.673650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes51c4,900$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4993964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes50c4,660$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3301952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x300c…7708backed Yes45c4,222$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.8440%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No62c4,168$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.4748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes45c4,092$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.232321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Yes51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes50c3,621$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.51717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-65.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes47c3,333$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.514468.2%30 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50019055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No48c2,655$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.823246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes25c2,567$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.986368.3%43 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes29c2,442$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.074723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35f1…93d9backed Yes45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-63.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Yes43c2,188$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.96742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No61c1,999$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.8635650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaed…580bbacked Yes50c1,999$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.3240%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed No52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes46c1,521$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.662437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes48c1,509$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.8128448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes50c1,500$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7453333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes41c1,400$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No51c1,305$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.61735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes47c1,268$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes44c1,254$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.716141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes51c1,250$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.3120150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75b3…982ebacked Yes44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No53c1,111$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.343745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes44c1,106$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.472857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+37.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes48c1,073$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.9923250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed No51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+39.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes50c1,000$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4953748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes41c987.71$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.162729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No50c974.24$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.9429949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No52c968.05$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.4438056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Yes50c960.6$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes50c904$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4522548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes23c879.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed Yes49c851.41$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.191330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes17c837.63$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed No48c750$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes37c745$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.654746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd94b…25eebacked Yes41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No64c731.56$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.992157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes38c700.22$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.625040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Yes44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dcb…8709backed Yes15c668.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No56c637.22$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.756942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c0…5930backed No48c624.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+46.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed No50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed No49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes30c599.42$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Yes50c564.03$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.324141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes47c523$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.0321143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes50c514.06$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.031533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23527748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb178…1fa0backed Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e9…a60cbacked Yes44c447.73$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes45c440.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+100.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed No58c431.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.03650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No49c408.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.674254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes39c403.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No53c392.25$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.6127049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.