TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,328 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47a8…52f9backed Under63c67,876$42,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,622.977545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over37c46,733$17,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,441.5613251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over41c12,039$4,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,052.941842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa398…6c83backed Over45c11,802$5,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,541.581681.3%13 W · 3 L+5.7wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+79.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under55c3,637$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.41442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under59c3,145$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.3628749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over16c2,420$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.662346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under58c2,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1501,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over1c1,684$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.163721.6%8 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid+210.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.9891945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over37c1,419$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.9783149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over41c1,240$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.52757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under56c1,108$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.2218453.8%99 W · 85 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over38c978.94$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.9459450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f5d…a258backed Over41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.711963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+50.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52fc…6c84backed Under60c728.28$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.973759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under58c700.9$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.1642948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over44c655.33$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.692,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Over38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3721154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under57c564.81$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.1611952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over64c562.5$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.829948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under60c503.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over3c465.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.3599638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over34c384.07$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.071,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over36c376.44$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.453,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over43c367.98$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.593336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under58c356.99$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.6461950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under62c341.71$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2417248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Over38c338.59$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under65c316$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.91942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over35c300$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19410438.5%40 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under56c254.72$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5622250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under59c251.62$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.334542.2%19 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under56c224.58$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over41c219$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.293857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over40c215.88$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5312152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Under63c212.31$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5212859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Under77c200.17$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid+122.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Over36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1281560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over39c196.96$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6419844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd31f…770cbacked Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Under60c165$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed Under58c164.12$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over48c163$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6661848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over24c150$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Under76c150$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11418046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under74c140.13$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4814347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd63…42d8backed Under57c138.66$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.041241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over34c133.08$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.671,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80ff…439ebacked Under57c126.82$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.29650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Over27c126$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2845069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1eca…6089backed Over44c124.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over34c123.59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.572147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccd…d915backed Over44c122.68$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.71050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over38c121.08$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.64136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb381…45d1backed Over44c120.97$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.74850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under59c119.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.332755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3859…8806backed Under57c113.41$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.64714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-67.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Over45c111$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.05966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87c1…41fcbacked Over44c107.54$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.221154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over41c106.95$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7520855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Under59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb97…5bb6backed Under57c97.29$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under71c91.11$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under58c89$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.046046.7%28 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Under60c87.88$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.73450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under59c80$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.28347%39 W · 44 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3186…2a53backed Over32c78.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.47540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed Over39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x387f…2095backed Under56c75.05$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under59c72.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.963641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under67c72.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9392049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under63c70$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.15939%23 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under33c64.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.280%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under56c64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.841464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under60c63.47$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.086251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Under58c62.07$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under71c59.28$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.09955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a65…5864backed Under60c58.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Under33c49.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2760%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over41c45.81$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0345151.2%231 W · 220 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under68c45.13$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.631540.3%127 W · 188 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under60c40.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3814254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Under74c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.61250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over41c39.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.023161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7f97…6aafbacked Over44c36.36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.36757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8179…5c4dbacked Under56c33.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.03425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb6e…6dc3backed Under60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over42c31.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.21154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1216…a8bcbacked Over44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over42c26.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.776950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef0…25b2backed Under59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under59c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.753551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under59c21.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57bd…1c8cbacked Under60c20.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.432152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.