TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Hurricanes, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,505 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Golden Knights64c63,168$40,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,922.12343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe16e…c3c7backed Hurricanes36c23,482$8,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,453.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Hurricanes36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6001060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Hurricanes37c9,016$3,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,335.752839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Golden Knights63c7,075$4,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,645.6211952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd864…497ebacked Hurricanes37c6,149$2,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,275.31540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Hurricanes37c4,334$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.7410743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b88…9856backed Hurricanes37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4802343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Hurricanes8c3,685$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.5158841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd2…43f3backed Hurricanes36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Hurricanes26c2,455$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.27047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Hurricanes37c2,050$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.428749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Hurricanes37c2,035$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7536953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Hurricanes37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7408549.4%42 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights63c1,824$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.871,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Hurricanes37c1,622$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Hurricanes18c1,323$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.141,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Golden Knights63c1,266$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.517761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hurricanes6c1,240$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6399638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Hurricanes37c1,141$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.181968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+56%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Golden Knights64c1,100$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.23641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ca7…0a12backed Hurricanes39c1,072$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.821346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Hurricanes37c972.22$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Golden Knights59c869.67$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.582951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Golden Knights68c805.08$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Golden Knights64c800.09$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.3376950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Golden Knights64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.254360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Hurricanes39c779.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights67c605.61$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.73,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Hurricanes37c544.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa12b…5a4cbacked Hurricanes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hurricanes18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Golden Knights60c413.24$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8935551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb876…d9c3backed Hurricanes37c410$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.72245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Hurricanes37c405.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Golden Knights71c383$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5141050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Hurricanes37c356.74$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.997533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Hurricanes30c337.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.222429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-45.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Hurricanes26c319.19$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.74136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Hurricanes37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11170249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Hurricanes37c283.78$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Hurricanes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Hurricanes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Golden Knights55c267.05$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.171,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Golden Knights64c266$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.76785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+46.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Golden Knights64c265.63$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6324749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hurricanes22c260.29$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3517248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Golden Knights51c260$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.73943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Golden Knights66c258.24$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.741,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Hurricanes27c208.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0114347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Golden Knights63c201.35$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.56841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Golden Knights65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x482a…7defbacked Hurricanes17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Golden Knights65c184.62$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6281157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Hurricanes37c183.78$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683828.9%11 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Golden Knights78c163.9$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.461,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Golden Knights50c160.44$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.491346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4597…0e8cbacked Hurricanes37c158.74$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd45d…105abacked Golden Knights64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98cb…26bcbacked Golden Knights64c152.98$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Hurricanes36c152.76$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.991346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Golden Knights62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5745069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9180…5af8backed Hurricanes37c144.51$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1342backed Hurricanes37c137.37$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.83425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Hurricanes44c134.11$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.966056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49d9…7e2ebacked Golden Knights64c132.48$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae6…7d39backed Hurricanes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Golden Knights64c130$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.85558.2%32 W · 23 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Golden Knights62c129.41$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4231540.3%127 W · 188 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Golden Knights63c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.920855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27fe…a4bdbacked Golden Knights64c118.52$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Golden Knights64c115.76$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.673857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Golden Knights76c114.4$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3319844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Golden Knights78c108$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.768345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f12…effbbacked Hurricanes50c106.8$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.91040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1259…5c05backed Golden Knights64c103.58$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Hurricanes18c102$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.365240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Hurricanes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1818046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Hurricanes36c99.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.11040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Golden Knights67c99.19$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0317456.3%98 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3186…2a53backed Golden Knights70c97.26$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Golden Knights50c88$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1838551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a31…0b12backed Golden Knights64c86.04$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4e9…d0a8backed Hurricanes51c78.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Golden Knights64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.138055%44 W · 36 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c00…8c3ebacked Hurricanes36c68.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Golden Knights64c68.06$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.533363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Golden Knights65c67.95$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9533660.7%204 W · 132 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb481…4db8backed Hurricanes38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Golden Knights63c65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.051464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Golden Knights64c64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0423063%145 W · 85 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Golden Knights64c60.94$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9440162.1%249 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Hurricanes34c58.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6522250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Golden Knights69c57.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.695269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa96b…7d92backed Hurricanes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Golden Knights51c50.93$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.961457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Golden Knights50c50.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.41877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+48%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Golden Knights64c49.37$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7711159.5%66 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Hurricanes22c47.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6826849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.