NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebe0e669dc9e941ff1385ce31c82ba4ae9b50dc4ccf14373b74270ebe4cb42f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 0c | 35,527$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +210.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 24c | 6,927$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa398…6c83backed Over | 26c | 6,855$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.95 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.7wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 74c | 4,856$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.78 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 76c | 4,500$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 25c | 2,952$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.08 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 75c | 1,731$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.33 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 76c | 1,654$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.76 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…a258backed Over | 22c | 1,614$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 76c | 1,400$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 76c | 1,320$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.46 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 76c | 1,269$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.8 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Under | 66c | 830.38$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.33 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 77c | 796.22$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 77c | 647.03$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.51 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 76c | 451.91$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 77c | 357.96$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.94 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 25c | 349.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 77c | 344.04$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 75c | 336.64$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 77c | 324$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Under | 76c | 299.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 66cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…2095backed Under | 74c | 284.18$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 25c | 226.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 34c | 219$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 75c | 200.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 76c | 167.88$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Under | 80c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 16c | 109$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 14c | 104.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 77c | 82.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145d…98edbacked Under | 75c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 25c | 77.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 34c | 59.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 73c | 52.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Under | 76c | 47.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Under | 76c | 31.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb031…996abacked Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 76c | 26.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed Under | 76c | 23.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 77c | 22.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 76c | 20.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e00…d2bfbacked Under | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.