TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,561
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,561 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd849…6ac7backed Over77c53,911$41,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,639.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick76cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under23c24,552$5,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,676.882343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Under43c13,100$5,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5933158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+51.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under24c12,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8801127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Under1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Over57c9,000$5,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,830450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over75c8,453$6,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107.6811952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under25c6,593$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.3510146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Under24c5,332$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.683333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under25c5,245$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.218641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under26c5,068$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.218452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under24c4,855$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.211947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c4,487$2,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.721,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Under23c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92010743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Over45c2,910$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.617038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36c8…53a9backed Under39c2,488$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.081668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+52.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over76c2,417$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.9228749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over77c2,268$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.64757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf792…f4bbbacked Under55c2,182$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Over57c1,885$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.651163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over72c1,750$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.1161848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over48c1,656$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.9792049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over76c1,500$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36091945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over46c1,415$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.962346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5cb5…7ce9backed Under24c1,354$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under24c1,200$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.993641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under40c1,084$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.447047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc546…5816backed Under25c1,032$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.04714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1449…a618backed Over57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over75c998.15$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.7561950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Under54c990.74$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over59c975.11$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.5222250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under53c952.35$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.7512146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under24c860.66$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.4576950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over59c704.6$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.811,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over62c701.66$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.811942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under39c688.17$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.493,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over63c655.58$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.191478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+41.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x74c0…62fabacked Under26c609.06$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Over57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2583250%16 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Under65c517.53$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.4414151.8%73 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5062…0b34backed Under54c493.69$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.59560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under38c481.28$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0499638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under25c475.89$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9740356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Under59c458.46$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5412152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Under55c398$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.913348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5d…a258backed Over76c343.97$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.551963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+50.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba3…c891backed Over77c342.25$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa151…03b0backed Over76c313.76$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over76c302.02$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.823873.7%28 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over50c293.75$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.119844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under24c267.37$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1731848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over64c263.15$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.91955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over66c262.12$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.214136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under63c249.82$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.731,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed Over77c238.01$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.321566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over50c231$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.614347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef2…fdb6backed Under22c227.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over65c217.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0917248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785261.5%32 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over78c199.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick66cpaid+43.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under19c182.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8931540.3%127 W · 188 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under38c173.87$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.54139%16 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over47c172$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1610438.5%40 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over75c161.62$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.192755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under41c160.02$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Over26c142.31$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.31475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+96.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Over76c133.62$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.071942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under24c125.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.143857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under64c118$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.525269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over60c113$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6941050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over68c112.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4218046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Under36c106$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3840%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd924…d06dbacked Under54c103.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over47c103.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.924100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3545069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over75c97.52$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3842948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3776…e17abacked Under64c91.96$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Under23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9c4…b937backed Under24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over66c75.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.723083.3%25 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc597…c695backed Under26c75.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a65…5864backed Under54c72.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fd6…81f6backed Over77c64.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.921181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick74cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over75c64.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.111,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed Under26c57.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b7…fd93backed Under26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Under54c57.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Over49c55.82$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.472857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under29c55.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.192147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under24c55.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.351963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Under31c51.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.891457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145939%23 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over76c42.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.214551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb90…c03dbacked Under54c40.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0095…cdb2backed Under25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-58%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84070%28 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over76c39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.556046.7%28 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.