TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$301,562
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$337,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,562 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa080…234fbacked Under47c57,206$26,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,746.611637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa398…6c83backed Over58c39,518$22,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,609.261681.3%13 W · 3 L+5.7wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+79.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over54c27,315$14,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,564.811172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked Under46c25,389$11,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,679.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe467…d3ebbacked Over54c14,179$7,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,522.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under42c11,856$5,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,009.5710545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over53c10,339$5,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,859.3358841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c10,217$5,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,755.9328749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under43c9,460$4,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,077.4311952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over45c6,218$2,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,435.2735551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under45c5,974$2,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,703.549751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c3,998$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.971,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e29…5777backed Under2c3,583$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under46c3,500$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61527850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under46c3,500$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under39c3,400$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32516546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under48c3,221$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54635829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38043548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3806841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under55c2,344$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.721942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ca7…0a12backed Over43c2,176$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.111346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over55c1,800$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8102161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over52c1,723$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.151,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under47c1,700$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79961959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over26c1,677$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.822462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over40c1,451$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.982951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over57c1,440$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.641050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over47c1,417$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.241154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over45c1,369$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.751478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+41.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xebf6…c629backed Under31c1,358$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.695354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c1,335$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.8961950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Over53c1,300$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under46c1,280$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5953641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8c…2ae2backed Over53c1,210$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over51c1,136$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.4910650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over40c1,088$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.311,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under44c1,048$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.029258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42014653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4705435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under57c999.98$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.4117750.8%90 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under47c960.42$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.310438.5%40 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.417353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under44c942.36$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.6459450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under50c942.26$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.2117248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over48c938.22$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.74136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9325258.3%147 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e9…5521backed Over53c914.43$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under43c901.7$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.810846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c900$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.2376950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over76c888.55$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.0511100%11 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over52c854$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.2233363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.749457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over17c733.57$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.1526849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under46c711.08$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.111648.3%56 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over33c691.99$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.073,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under46c666$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3642948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067d…1ceebacked Under46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Under55c615.9$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.72922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-54.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27645749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under46c582.17$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.86847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over26c566.94$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9799638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5d…a258backed Over53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.041963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+50.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Over53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.042857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over41c549.38$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.1119844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba0…1803backed Over54c539.89$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.356100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over54c536.54$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.941145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Under41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2407925.3%20 W · 59 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under53c479.49$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.2922250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over52c474.19$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.6142847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under39c466.19$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8331540.3%127 W · 188 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb085…7b10backed Over54c454.54$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Over53c449.22$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd190…e445backed Over53c424.53$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over43c407$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.51955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46b1…e81abacked Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under46c394.42$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.483857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.367861.5%48 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over50c359$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.53666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over53c347.97$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.997147.9%34 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3b…e920backed Over29c344.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.163135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Under60c344.12$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1245069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under53c324.7$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9314347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1442857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over54c273.15$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.653066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over54c270.81$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.574100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.51190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick66cpaid+43.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Under46c236$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.621546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Under46c228.26$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10548552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e2…6099backed Over53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac15…75a4backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under45c216$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.29948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over50c215.2$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.132965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over31c213.96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3161848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.68150.6%41 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.