TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,125
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,125 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c24,216$12,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,585.754,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over29c11,445$3,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,125.941947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under25c2,533$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over49c2,040$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.614235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Over75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003452.9%18 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over50c1,999$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.53948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c1,965$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.683,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under24c1,856$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.832,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7809052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5849…dcf1backed Under26c1,072$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.61010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Over75c1,040$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.13650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Over40c999.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.992748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under11c991.08$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.335547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over40c770$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4621070%7 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick38cpaid+74.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6716149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3753847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over70c525$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.252365.2%15 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Under3c515.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8220857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over77c503.9$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.913263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under29c503.4$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.921,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14031745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c498.98$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.481,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over41c470$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.31450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5422357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.164942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Over75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003464.7%22 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042560%15 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under44c388.61$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.891,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc2…757cbacked Over76c384.67$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.326100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+72.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over57c352.56$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5910927.5%30 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over77c330$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.99262%57 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over77c324.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.684082.5%33 W · 7 L+6.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd1b9…8714backed Over64c319.95$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under32c313.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005232.7%17 W · 35 L-10.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3ee3…6be7backed Over68c304.52$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0322729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over67c282.25$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.253655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over49c273.47$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.475950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7313…2596backed Over75c250$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over57c233.72$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.834050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61ce…21ebbacked Over65c220$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over49c205.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0712650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Under27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5411120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4642458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffc…4487backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Under39c182$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5815246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c175.51$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5142158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a40…e7f0backed Over77c156.73$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.05683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Over75c156.32$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.086144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under24c150.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9642851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.854768.1%32 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.879966.7%66 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over76c125$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over73c123.33$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0311056.4%62 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbaa…a58abacked Over75c111$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.661560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacce…ce8abacked Under40c110.03$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.013336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under42c105.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7815443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under33c103.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9861657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0415451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5269142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Under27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over72c88$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6410143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over49c85.65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.684358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under59c81.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1912152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41d7…7c97backed Under59c80.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.57425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3710554.3%57 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0730842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Over78c70.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Over58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.42437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over69c69.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6717455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2261…727bbacked Over75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcbd…191dbacked Over50c66.58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.292352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over75c66.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5716865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over64c59.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3418656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c1…41fcbacked Under26c56.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over59c56.05$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.986963.8%44 W · 25 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under25c55.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6827653.6%148 W · 128 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over37c54.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1110155.4%56 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Over76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.633372.7%24 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick72cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under31c50.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7228446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked Over76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2cde…610cbacked Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+44.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1913760.6%83 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124580%36 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+27%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.86847.1%32 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under55c49.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8627850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3909…335fbacked Over74c46.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.041752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Over73c45.66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.339570.5%67 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick76cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.552842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb874…c7aabacked Under27c42.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under54c42.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.925152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0247…bb07backed Over75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21090%9 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick73cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over40c39.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.997625%19 W · 57 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.