La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc76499ae19b520fe9475fece0d471c36af3362adb7bfbd63a7af0abd531947d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 3,532$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.71 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Over | 28c | 2,005$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.45 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 71c | 944$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.76 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Under | 72c | 552.05$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.05 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Over | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 29c | 510.03$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.91 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…afb0backed Under | 72c | 468.83$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 18c | 335.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 29c | 218.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Under | 71c | 213.33$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 29c | 180$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe848…282ebacked Under | 72c | 160.71$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Under | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 29c | 148$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 19c | 147.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c34…dfafbacked Over | 28c | 144.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 70c | 141.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 15c | 112$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 71c | 111$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Over | 29c | 100.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…0f14backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 31c | 87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Over | 30c | 85.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 16c | 81.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 20c | 78.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 19c | 77.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 23c | 77.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 21c | 74.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 74c | 67.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…6aa3backed Over | 28c | 60.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8311…3ed4backed Over | 30c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked Over | 18c | 57.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 26c | 52.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…9d1fbacked Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…f4d2backed Over | 29c | 45.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…f9aebacked Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 70c | 36.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 70c | 34.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 71c | 31.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…a668backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.