TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$265,754
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$290,269

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,754 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x916f…53babacked Over50c116,665$58,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,932.432969%20 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c74,639$38,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,098.154,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Under49c31,257$15,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,272.686048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under49c24,627$12,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,017.6250249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under1c9,914$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1418842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over50c8,516$4,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,242.33756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under50c7,600$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80064046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ace…ea51backed Under50c5,398$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,680366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3333…15bdbacked Over57c5,319$3,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,291.352035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over53c4,245$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.28650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under3c3,672$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.163327.3%9 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+158.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c3,614$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.163,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c2,706$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.232,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under50c2,485$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.624334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c2,303$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.520449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over20c2,287$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.5160147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Over53c2,106$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.867452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc9…18c4backed Over51c2,073$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.821546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9808853.4%47 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c1,614$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.8250149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Under47c1,597$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.169956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over45c1,264$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.4415246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Over50c1,081$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.93650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.993948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over15c835$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.753847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over50c817.8$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.93339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over36c801.62$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.1210927.5%30 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c793.68$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.361,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over24c784.7$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.8814342%60 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee3…6be7backed Over40c760.53$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over50c756$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3782272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+48.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over51c666.67$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.679564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over14c649.56$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.627719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over52c560.44$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.014082.5%33 W · 7 L+6.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under77c466.59$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.541435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1222357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under58c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over49c420.57$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.025967.8%40 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.165547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over53c370.98$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3619344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under50c360$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18026550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53f7…2544backed Under47c356.17$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8850%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under60c355$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.6415443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under61c354.79$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.375232.7%17 W · 35 L-10.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under58c309.84$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.051,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Under66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1612650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Over52c249.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1206457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c244.64$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2661557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.294942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over51c232.77$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0689050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under48c215.23$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.312138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over22c200.69$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5410634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10022553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over37c200$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1274540%18 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9811929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1067131%22 W · 49 L-11.8wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-40.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked Under43c198.84$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.52821.4%6 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-65%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe1c3…a583backed Over35c194.98$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.941553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.316861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c189.27$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9542851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Over47c182.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.983360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under59c170.39$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Under49c153.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under51c148.87$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5427850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Under50c144$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over44c136.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3616865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.142839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Under58c120.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under49c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.414044.3%62 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Under50c116$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3811342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6433949.9%169 W · 170 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.217656.6%43 W · 33 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Under55c110.91$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over31c110.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.496752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under52c109.59$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4541147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c104.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9832145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.045536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c100.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.215451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4922638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857625%19 W · 57 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over11c100$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8922729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41e0…00cbbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over50c99.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.965940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over55c99.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93467.6%23 W · 11 L+9.0wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+113.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xef80…6aa3backed Over50c99.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1514850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over55c95.2$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.841952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3430842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c90.63$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.881,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.