TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 142.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$362,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,930 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Under20c61,788$12,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,217.1125145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under51c54,519$27,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,608.384348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under3c50,592$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.23,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c23,330$11,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,898.462,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c21,714$10,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,007.1212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ebf…3b02backed Over51c9,702$4,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,754.041866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c8,268$4,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,095.6646246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under45c7,213$3,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,246.0621636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under45c6,193$2,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,786.6644146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over50c5,672$2,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,835.9789645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over57c5,650$3,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.9390645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over50c5,395$2,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,683.3239454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under50c4,738$2,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,369.0923243.5%101 W · 131 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over74c4,704$3,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.094,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over50c4,111$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.52,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c4,011$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.6318744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3348…c819backed Over50c3,600$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8001225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c3,255$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.381,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c3,052$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.21,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Over51c2,588$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.184143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c2,543$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.435,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x733b…0268backed Under50c2,507$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.511154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over62c2,353$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.015,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Under50c2,268$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.934551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Over50c2,207$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.436142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Over50c2,009$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.5912344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf12e…7939backed Under50c1,885$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.393748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over50c1,883$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.814447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc93c…3c93backed Over50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+46.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked Over49c1,591$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.392356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Over49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7655341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Under49c1,499$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.417938%30 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Over50c1,491$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.68444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under50c1,408$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.792321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Over49c1,388$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.533554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Over50c1,370$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68514346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under26c1,363$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.121,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4c…c962backed Under51c1,216$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.172360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Under49c1,051$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.45639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Under49c1,010$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.98046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Over49c1,009$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.592646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Over50c1,001$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.67643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…b78ebacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5105356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under29c999.74$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.954944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27fa…d880backed Under50c997.62$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.811936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over51c991.25$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.7110846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under50c948.58$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.2910443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Under50c924.15$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.0811542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over49c915.49$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.918048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under23c864.84$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9111456.1%64 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under47c864.4$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.272,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over49c825.96$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.2413343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Over50c766.08$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.213343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Under23c715.63$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.597258.3%42 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4a9…4d64backed Under50c708.02$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.017231.9%23 W · 49 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over50c664.8$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.6218556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under51c616.25$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.293638.9%14 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over49c583.46$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.5731448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd5b0…f655backed Under50c508.81$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.414438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Under50c498.81$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.415942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over75c493.27$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4719147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc4…079fbacked Over49c468.8$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.093043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over50c463.63$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.8191848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x938e…10ecbacked Over49c458.8$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Under46c431$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.262330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Over40c423.91$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.3513141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under44c420.44$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.991,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c400.47$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2478052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c292.16$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.243,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under50c262.66$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3330152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Over49c261.42$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.325552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over49c256.26$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6929650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over73c252.95$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4160551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…3371backed Under50c247.73$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.323847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe046…1f0abacked Under11c242.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under23c236.83$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.477962%49 W · 30 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf232…c01cbacked Over50c212.64$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked Over49c211.14$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.68875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eca…6089backed Under51c209.29$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93d5…271abacked Over51c204.31$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd864…805ebacked Under50c200.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10262451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a51…d9c5backed Over51c199.4$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9d8…f8afbacked Under51c199.17$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.58450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab3a…644dbacked Under50c198.75$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under51c198.25$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1120642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5235…a0bdbacked Under50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under23c197.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.496765.7%44 W · 23 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3a…0979backed Over50c192.32$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.16683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+71.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2678…cef5backed Under51c191.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f1…47f8backed Under50c189.29$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cbb…a912backed Over50c188.46$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.23580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccd…d915backed Over50c186.61$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.31450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29ba…1223backed Over51c185.87$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f31…6953backed Over50c185.84$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa4…3b47backed Under51c180.81$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe589…389bbacked Under51c176.82$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Over51c174.09$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.312254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b4e…d5aabacked Over50c170.2$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.