Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 143.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5b149e7c4d6b49824c2fd110983f3562f1f12c713ddf4905872ea009b2d4aa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,043 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 52,237$25,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,163.07 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 22,225$11,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,510.98 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 52c | 11,249$5,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.18 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 52c | 7,009$3,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,644.8 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 4,792$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.74 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Under | 52c | 4,548$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.76 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.44 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 2,025$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.55 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 49c | 1,960$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.52 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Over | 49c | 806.68$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.49 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed Under | 53c | 617.57$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.31 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 42c | 594.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.45 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 52c | 519.42$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.1 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 52c | 506.54$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.4 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 461.45$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.73 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 454$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.38 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Under | 51c | 427.6$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.08 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Under | 52c | 404.13$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.15 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 371.96$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.42 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 52c | 290.44$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.03 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 52c | 280.06$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.63 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 52c | 265.72$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.17 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Under | 53c | 260.71$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.17 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 52c | 203.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Over | 48c | 198.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 53c | 187.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 51c | 164.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Over | 46c | 158.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Under | 52c | 146.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Under | 52c | 146.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Under | 52c | 146.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 52c | 128.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 51c | 116.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 53c | 106.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Over | 49c | 98.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 52c | 60.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 48c | 59.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 53c | 56.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Under | 55c | 54.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Under | 52c | 51.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 49.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…6807backed Under | 52c | 48.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 53c | 46.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Under | 52c | 43.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Under | 52c | 40.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…1838backed Under | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed Over | 46c | 37.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Under | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Over | 49c | 32.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 52c | 31.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 52c | 31.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Under | 52c | 31.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Over | 48c | 30.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…73debacked Over | 48c | 29.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Under | 48c | 27.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 23.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 53c | 22.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 51c | 21.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Under | 52c | 20.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…f59abacked Under | 52c | 20.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0c…282cbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 70c | 19.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 143.5this page
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-24.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-8.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-9.5)Houston Cougars won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston CougarsHouston Cougars won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 141.5Over won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 142.5Over won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 145.5Under won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 148.5Under won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 151.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.