Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05166d9ff41062d12933db117b9257bea13a5be880b74b67f0ad3c75cd30ed6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,831 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 1,037$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.49 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 599.79$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.84 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 40c | 527.27$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.43 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 54c | 495.65$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.65 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 46c | 303.56$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.64 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 52c | 280.11$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.66 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 46c | 108.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…dc59backed Under | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 62.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 61c | 50.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 52c | 49.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 45c | 44.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 52c | 24.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 151.5this page
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-24.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-8.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-9.5)Houston Cougars won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston CougarsHouston Cougars won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 141.5Over won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 142.5Over won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 143.5Over won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 145.5Under won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.