NFL · resolved market
Spread: Eagles (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc720978499b114aa77c361313ebf317f21a75607dadc369e72c0413b05242fd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Eagles, Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Chargers | 52c | 82,303$42,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,505.59 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Eagles | 48c | 41,400$19,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,872 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Eagles | 48c | 19,124$9,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,179.45 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Eagles | 48c | 7,654$3,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,676.4 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eagles | 46c | 6,718$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.39 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Eagles | 52c | 5,971$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.87 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Eagles | 47c | 5,361$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.19 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Chargers | 52c | 3,583$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.69 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Eagles | 48c | 3,139$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.76 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Chargers | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chargers | 47c | 2,957$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.01 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…050cbacked Eagles | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Chargers | 48c | 2,475$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Eagles | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Chargers | 52c | 670$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Eagles | 50c | 399.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Eagles | 52c | 371.72$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.54 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Eagles | 49c | 289.78$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Eagles | 57c | 226$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.59 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Chargers | 50c | 205.4$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Eagles | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Chargers | 49c | 142.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.79 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Eagles | 53c | 130.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Chargers | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef67…7b2dbacked Eagles | 53c | 117$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…6c61backed Chargers | 48c | 103.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Eagles | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114a…8aa2backed Chargers | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…e115backed Chargers | 48c | 79.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Chargers | 44c | 64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chargers | 41c | 63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Chargers | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Chargers | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Eagles | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Eagles | 51c | 42.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Chargers | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79bb…bf9ebacked Chargers | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Chargers | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565f…4050backed Eagles | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Eagles | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Eagles | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Eagles | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked Eagles | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Eagles | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Eagles (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Eagles (-0.5)Chargers won
- 1H Spread: Eagles (-1.5)Chargers won
- Chargers Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
- Eagles Team Total: O/U 21.5Under won
- Eagles vs. ChargersChargers won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H MoneylineChargers won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 34.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 36.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 39.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 41.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 42.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 43.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 46.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 47.5Under won
- Jalen Hurts: 2+ TouchdownsNo won
- Spread: Chargers (-3.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Eagles (-2.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Eagles (-3.5)Chargers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.