Mls · resolved market
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39f5e8da4e3fa2ac9610a00c194be427e095f1a3d9fdb9d4f2a1dba4af7b02bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inter Miami CFof Inter Miami CF, Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 70c | 6,872$4,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,821.01 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Inter Miami CF | 30c | 4,999$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Inter Miami CF | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 73c | 496.84$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c72…9b30backed Inter Miami CF | 31c | 465.28$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +153.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Inter Miami CF | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Inter Miami CF | 31c | 191.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 68c | 155.13$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.49 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 70c | 86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…4ddebacked Inter Miami CF | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 73c | 48.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…231cbacked Inter Miami CF | 32c | 46.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +213.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Inter Miami CF | 30c | 39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Inter Miami CF | 30c | 34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 73c | 20.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…f78cbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 73c | 17.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.