Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6947ee6813ba90850b6c98016335e4db6459455f50b11e13d6056a3685cb285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Over | 55c | 648$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.6 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +82%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 594.18$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.5 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 531.24$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.06 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 36c | 411.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.84 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 33c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 45c | 56.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…ec90backed Over | 66c | 51.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Over | 60c | 48.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Under | 46c | 40.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Over | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Over | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…8dd0backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 66c | 16.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.