Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x727d321870b686b198a9a3cee27f7d3002a3b0a96141537b434ce833469e2d10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 40c | 551$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.1 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 60c | 516$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 388.48$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.82 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes | 68c | 148.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 32c | 81.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Yes | 70c | 80.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced5…71c2backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36b…cfe0backed Yes | 68c | 56.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 59c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7633…e5b7backed Yes | 68c | 47.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.