Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x066e24ec76bb0880a02c3f6c195e8827ac220c19b82f96d1e6b0ad8c46e1e315
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 2,136$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.11 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over | 46c | 1,748$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.89 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 46c | 665.32$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 555.26$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.58 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 56c | 554.2$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.57 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 58c | 280$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 56c | 89.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Under | 54c | 69.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Under | 56c | 40.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 40.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 42c | 40.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 32c | 31.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…7589backed Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 56c | 25.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 59c | 25.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…35d0backed Under | 57c | 22.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…0d6fbacked Under | 57c | 18.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…a38abacked Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 77cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.