TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Sabres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Utah, Sabres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$399,960
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$412,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $399,960 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Sabres46c163,644$74,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,792.389340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Utah66c81,550$53,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,061.9830944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf90e…0b56backed Utah55c72,318$40,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,270.4113449.3%66 W · 68 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Sabres44c63,455$27,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,920.1921652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Sabres27c45,000$12,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,149.9342552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Utah56c34,500$19,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,180.1813553.3%72 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Utah54c25,421$13,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,693.662369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Sabres45c20,207$9,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,093.0357453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Utah54c13,000$7,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9803053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Utah55c12,736$7,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,731.091,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Utah55c11,110$6,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,055.0521850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Utah57c10,569$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,568.845648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Utah54c10,500$5,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,83016656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Utah55c8,995$4,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,047.7570547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sabres45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9989547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Utah56c5,644$3,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.3686649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Utah54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Sabres44c4,641$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.1152050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Utah54c4,433$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.332,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e6f…ffaabacked Sabres46c4,300$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97811947.9%57 W · 62 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Sabres45c4,183$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.5254047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Utah71c4,120$2,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.731,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Utah54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.721,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Utah78c3,495$2,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.252,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Utah54c3,169$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.4437847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Utah56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32013946.8%65 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Sabres43c2,876$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.6731654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Sabres35c2,485$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.2227143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Utah55c2,400$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Sabres45c2,204$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Utah55c2,122$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.933151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Utah55c2,073$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.6330848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Utah54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92014945%67 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8a3…801cbacked Utah56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa365…ee73backed Sabres44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8802240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Sabres45c1,836$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.991653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Sabres11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9829412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Utah57c1,751$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.882356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Sabres45c1,640$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.0664242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Utah53c1,489$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70056649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Sabres47c1,489$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70014848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Sabres1c1,333$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.337450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Utah55c1,302$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.5341246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Sabres46c1,275$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.558841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Sabres46c1,250$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57521750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2421…10cfbacked Sabres46c1,091$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.861643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b27…0a09backed Utah55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.911060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a90…7743backed Utah55c1,072$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.181942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95bb…f28bbacked Sabres46c1,072$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.91656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c2…26aabacked Utah56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Sabres45c1,000$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44533837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Sabres44c999.99$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e9…5e83backed Utah57c982.46$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.463748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Utah55c951.13$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.5787447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Utah55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0975251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976c…907cbacked Utah55c907.4$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Utah56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3521520%3 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-64%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres44c750$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Utah55c733.64$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Utah55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.2745447.8%217 W · 237 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc923…e0d5backed Sabres46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3221435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2d4…8713backed Utah55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3152138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Utah55c654.55$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.556063.3%38 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Utah61c652.78$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.584953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sabres40c640$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.6199638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres32c583.49$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4389636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Sabres44c570.69$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.119942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa05b…a94fbacked Utah55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.453661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fbb…2466backed Utah55c504.4$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb87…3ebebacked Sabres46c504.35$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2321050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc439…1308backed Sabres45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2254067.5%27 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+37.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Utah54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2309251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb72…3582backed Utah56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Sabres44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22032744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Utah54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23051044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Utah56c447.75$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0141340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Utah56c429$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.541,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Utah55c403.64$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.646262.9%39 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Utah61c399$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5695049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Utah69c390$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.5533848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Utah55c370.91$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9126848.5%130 W · 138 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x278b…0dd1backed Utah55c358.71$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.42650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e66…352ebacked Sabres46c358.7$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Utah56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.143275%24 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6311…27cdbacked Sabres45c354.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres44c343.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.41,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf4…d167backed Sabres46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah64c310.76$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.041,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Utah56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13219548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5478backed Utah56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Utah55c299.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13538857.2%222 W · 166 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Utah56c286.23$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.645844.8%26 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Sabres44c279$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.768543.5%37 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Utah63c278.15$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0812070.8%85 W · 35 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa87…b01abacked Utah56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.861369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eca…e919backed Sabres46c263.46$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Utah55c254.55$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.555947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Utah55c254.37$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.471,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Utah54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11574951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.