NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6629f255950a8f2ff1e0ddbd8e4c6d64f3074b0c98043e9572f482c1feaf4871
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb67c…26d1backed Under | 53c | 20,647$10,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,704.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d47…d0a2backed Under | 51c | 5,282$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 5,020$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.77 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 49c | 3,553$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.18 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Over | 47c | 2,502$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.9 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 2,427$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.69 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 47c | 1,498$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.92 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 47c | 1,224$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.23 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 49c | 975$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.55 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 496.97$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…e919backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Under | 51c | 149.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce5…65d7backed Under | 53c | 124.72$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 102.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 52c | 66.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…9b77backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c73…36c5backed Under | 55c | 27.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Sabres won
- Utah vs. SabresUtah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.