TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Jets vs. Patriots

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Patriotsof Jets, Patriots
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,163,531
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,643,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,163,531 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Jets15c1,196,101$179,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179,415.2217041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Jets15c678,587$99,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,788.18344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Jets14c532,105$76,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,494.657035.7%25 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Jets14c265,000$38,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,25016545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Jets14c199,999$28,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,999.8316836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Jets12c151,395$17,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,579.5510026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Jets14c151,141$21,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,159.6719645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e02…817ebacked Jets15c150,000$22,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,5002227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jets14c111,813$15,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,466.0130743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca36…1e9cbacked Jets15c100,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0002653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+59.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Jets15c100,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0002441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jets14c100,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,999.9612144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Jets14c75,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,499.945236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Jets9c70,135$6,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,312.156248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Jets6c56,459$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,200.3326547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae4…15febacked Jets3c43,469$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Jets8c30,761$2,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.4718044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jets8c27,800$2,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,352.8220026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0da…1f3cbacked Jets4c27,149$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+84.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Jets12c26,018$2,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9971526.7%4 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ba…eba1backed Jets15c19,333$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Jets14c17,196$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.733423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b6…f090backed Patriots76c16,700$12,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,008757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Jets14c15,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10011649.1%57 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Jets15c15,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2504134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3044…7bbebacked Jets15c13,300$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jets1c12,445$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.731486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Patriots76c11,000$8,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6404940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Jets14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40017348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Jets15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ffa…0788backed Jets15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9e…eddcbacked Jets15c9,390$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.551145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick24cpaid+69.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Jets20c9,126$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.4212352.8%65 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Jets13c8,820$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.976245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81a6…9c48backed Jets8c8,491$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6733834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Jets10c8,146$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78916737.7%63 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Jets5c7,933$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.822934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jets1c7,888$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6980%0 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed Jets3c7,822$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.2240%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Jets14c7,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0507732.5%25 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a63…4544backed Jets14c7,298$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…3f9fbacked Jets14c7,191$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2633…8816backed Jets15c7,130$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.57333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9390…dca0backed Jets14c6,980$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jets5c5,914$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.821969.2%18 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Jets14c5,873$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.2119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick37cpaid-78.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jets18c5,015$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.622450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd1…da1cbacked Patriots75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf65f…9c46backed Jets15c4,833$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked Jets8c4,584$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3652821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-53.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Jets15c4,300$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6451435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7c0…55ffbacked Jets7c4,190$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.6119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Jets8c4,143$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.4413843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Jets14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5604330.2%13 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Jets14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56024053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Jets15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012634.1%43 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Jets20c3,950$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.998532.9%28 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Jets15c3,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5253154.8%17 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+135.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Jets1c3,366$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.381013%3 W · 98 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Jets15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-64.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Jets15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Jets8c3,250$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605540%22 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8867…4ae5backed Jets4c3,066$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24f…593dbacked Jets15c3,060$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Jets15c3,014$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.0412138.8%47 W · 74 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Jets14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42017144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd368…1889backed Jets15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45013842%58 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Jets14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42020646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea80…7296backed Jets8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd46e…904abacked Jets16c2,630$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Jets12c2,619$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.7514945.6%68 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac2…727bbacked Jets5c2,597$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207337%27 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Jets19c2,564$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeca9…32c6backed Jets16c2,331$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ff…8217backed Jets22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Jets10c2,221$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.698622.1%19 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Jets15c2,200$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32340%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe952…bde4backed Jets14c2,161$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.5660%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29bf…25b0backed Patriots76c2,100$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5043458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6a…f116backed Jets15c2,100$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Jets15c2,068$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.535143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Jets15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Patriots78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44056852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Jets15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002250%11 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8005…abc0backed Jets20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c3…0964backed Jets14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Jets6c1,960$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jets1c1,554$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.544311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Jets14c1,514$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.951631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1228…c4fabacked Jets2c1,500$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf04e…2773backed Jets16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Jets15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf26…d919backed Jets14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70d2…f395backed Patriots76c1,420$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.85450%27 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Jets18c1,383$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.334440.9%18 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Patriots76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.796045%27 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Jets16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Patriots80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25014763.9%94 W · 53 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Jets4c1,220$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.25246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b2…52b3backed Jets15c1,200$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807739%30 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.