TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Patriots (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Patriots, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,922
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,922 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Patriots47c46,481$21,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,781.2431240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xca36…1e9cbacked Jets53c42,550$22,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,998.492653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+59.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Patriots56c16,650$9,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,297.3273651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jets44c12,002$5,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,704.3886547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Patriots47c5,473$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.2777052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Jets53c5,015$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,335.375358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Patriots48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40013654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jets53c4,626$2,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,182.5653348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c35…20c0backed Jets54c4,299$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Patriots47c4,150$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.528447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jets53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.9951352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jets45c3,869$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.7860049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Patriots47c3,500$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.9914248.6%69 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Patriots46c2,586$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.627454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Jets52c2,196$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.125453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Patriots48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Patriots47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9409855.1%54 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Jets53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.991747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a52…82e5backed Jets54c1,204$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.73852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Jets53c1,131$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.45246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Jets54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.1121454.7%117 W · 97 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd5c…8ae8backed Patriots47c1,072$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Patriots47c1,042$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.7465048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cc7…cf77backed Jets54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4608144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jets36c960$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.468446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbde…a050backed Jets54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.939940.4%40 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Patriots46c870.37$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.377436.5%27 W · 47 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Jets52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3842540%10 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Jets54c788.89$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.8921151.2%108 W · 103 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Jets53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.7216351.5%84 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2800…2081backed Patriots47c719.17$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.016752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Jets54c585.19$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.198536.5%31 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32da…b112backed Jets54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.963974.4%29 W · 10 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Patriots47c441.55$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.532152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb29…a7fcbacked Jets54c440$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.41040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Jets51c427.18$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.3217647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b1…a7b6backed Patriots49c427.18$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.32616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-75.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1150…263bbacked Jets52c426.92$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Jets52c420$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.68950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Jets54c307.44$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.425030%15 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161c…3b03backed Jets52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1445756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Patriots47c291.6$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0514550.3%73 W · 72 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Patriots47c276.04$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13028047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Jets54c255.39$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.481361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Jets53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.518744.9%84 W · 103 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf08…9f3fbacked Patriots47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Patriots47c188.68$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6839447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ac…a025backed Jets53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.684847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd94f…ee62backed Patriots48c177.69$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Jets53c150$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7124243.4%105 W · 137 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8984…8af8backed Patriots50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Patriots46c145$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.753253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Patriots47c133.06$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5412850%64 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2afc…0f60backed Jets54c130$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Patriots47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014337.8%54 W · 89 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Patriots48c103.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2112447.6%59 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe97…8e82backed Jets54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a1e…2e41backed Jets54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5db0…a3b6backed Jets54c85.15$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.171844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Patriots47c84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4836341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7415…fae8backed Jets54c83.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.334647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c8…a3b0backed Patriots47c79.79$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b7d4backed Jets53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.471747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f1f…0b36backed Jets54c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.57339.7%29 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Jets62c69.57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2232347.4%153 W · 170 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Patriots46c69.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.041,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c1…012cbacked Jets54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.66753.7%36 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Patriots46c53.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.711445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x039a…b09dbacked Jets54c53.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.72433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Patriots47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513339.8%53 W · 80 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Jets55c52.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4612343.1%53 W · 70 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Patriots48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522053.2%117 W · 103 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Patriots48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2422950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fe7…5fb9backed Jets50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8936…4891backed Jets54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.32040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x018d…09e3backed Jets54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5101…df79backed Jets54c45.37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb877…1f39backed Jets54c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85da…34b8backed Jets54c41.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a4…db78backed Patriots48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-63.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b03…7fbcbacked Patriots48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2873…4ad3backed Patriots49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a6…f55fbacked Jets54c40.74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.74966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+51.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82b5…1d1dbacked Jets65c37.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.081838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6eb…7b17backed Jets54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9efd…30babacked Jets54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Jets54c36.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.816549.2%32 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb683…3599backed Patriots47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c57…224bbacked Patriots48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid+46.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc6b…d720backed Jets54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.89251.1%47 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Patriots46c24.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.331032.6%101 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Jets53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.