NFL · resolved market
Spread: Patriots (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96b958d682b91da50997c9e30e83f9befcd0a30cda9bd3a65ab32bf999688785
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Patriots, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Patriots | 47c | 46,481$21,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,781.24 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…1e9cbacked Jets | 53c | 42,550$22,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,998.49 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Patriots | 56c | 16,650$9,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,297.32 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Jets | 44c | 12,002$5,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,704.38 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Patriots | 47c | 5,473$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.27 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Jets | 53c | 5,015$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.37 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Patriots | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jets | 53c | 4,626$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.56 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…20c0backed Jets | 54c | 4,299$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Patriots | 47c | 4,150$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.5 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jets | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.99 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jets | 45c | 3,869$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.78 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Patriots | 47c | 3,500$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.99 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Patriots | 46c | 2,586$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.6 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Jets | 52c | 2,196$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.12 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Patriots | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Patriots | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Jets | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…82e5backed Jets | 54c | 1,204$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.7 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Jets | 53c | 1,131$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.4 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Jets | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Patriots | 47c | 1,072$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Patriots | 47c | 1,042$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.74 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Jets | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Jets | 36c | 960$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.4 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Jets | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Patriots | 46c | 870.37$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.37 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked Jets | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Jets | 54c | 788.89$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.89 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Jets | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Patriots | 47c | 719.17$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.01 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…d648backed Jets | 54c | 585.19$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.19 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32da…b112backed Jets | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Patriots | 47c | 441.55$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.53 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…a7fcbacked Jets | 54c | 440$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Jets | 51c | 427.18$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.32 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…a7b6backed Patriots | 49c | 427.18$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…263bbacked Jets | 52c | 426.92$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Jets | 52c | 420$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Jets | 54c | 307.44$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.42 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Jets | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Patriots | 47c | 291.6$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.05 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Patriots | 47c | 276.04$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Jets | 54c | 255.39$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Jets | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Patriots | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Patriots | 47c | 188.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…a025backed Jets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…ee62backed Patriots | 48c | 177.69$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Jets | 53c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8984…8af8backed Patriots | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Patriots | 46c | 145$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Patriots | 47c | 133.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…0f60backed Jets | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Patriots | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Patriots | 48c | 103.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…8e82backed Jets | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Jets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…a3b6backed Jets | 54c | 85.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Patriots | 47c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…fae8backed Jets | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c8…a3b0backed Patriots | 47c | 79.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Jets | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…0b36backed Jets | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Jets | 62c | 69.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Patriots | 46c | 69.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Jets | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Patriots | 46c | 53.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Jets | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Patriots | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Jets | 55c | 52.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Patriots | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Patriots | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe7…5fb9backed Jets | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…4891backed Jets | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x018d…09e3backed Jets | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…df79backed Jets | 54c | 45.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…1f39backed Jets | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85da…34b8backed Jets | 54c | 41.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a4…db78backed Patriots | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b03…7fbcbacked Patriots | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…4ad3backed Patriots | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked Jets | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1d1dbacked Jets | 65c | 37.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6eb…7b17backed Jets | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…30babacked Jets | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Jets | 54c | 36.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…3599backed Patriots | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…224bbacked Patriots | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Jets | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Patriots | 46c | 24.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Jets | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Patriots (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-6.5)Patriots won
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-7.5)Jets won
- Jets vs. PatriotsPatriots won
- Jets vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylinePatriots won
- Jets vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 42.5Under won
- Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 43.5Under won
- Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5Under won
- Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5Under won
- Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5Under won
- Spread: Patriots (-10.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-11.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-12.5)Patriots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.