NFL · resolved market
Spread: Patriots (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24bf18ba6cbd33b180f2fa13e49d5bf2c110a4820ee35bd6b3e90ea5028e2e98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Patriots, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1496…a429backed Patriots | 50c | 43,692$21,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,926.71 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Jets | 50c | 23,898$11,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,948.85 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Jets | 50c | 18,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Patriots | 50c | 17,763$8,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,881.5 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Jets | 51c | 12,788$6,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,522 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Patriots | 50c | 11,616$5,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,807.81 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Jets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Jets | 49c | 9,054$4,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,436.32 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Jets | 50c | 8,888$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Jets | 49c | 8,579$4,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,203.55 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jets | 49c | 8,200$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.99 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Patriots | 51c | 7,755$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.95 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Patriots | 49c | 7,000$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Patriots | 50c | 6,498$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Patriots | 51c | 5,885$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.65 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Jets | 48c | 5,219$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.94 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Jets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Patriots | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Jets | 50c | 5,000$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Patriots | 56c | 4,389$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.04 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…a040backed Patriots | 51c | 4,167$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Patriots | 50c | 3,749$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.74 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Jets | 50c | 2,998$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.75 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Jets | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258a…a299backed Jets | 50c | 2,227$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Patriots | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jets | 39c | 2,006$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.52 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Patriots | 50c | 2,000$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.67 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Patriots | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Patriots | 50c | 1,991$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.66 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…0bb4backed Jets | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcf…96aebacked Patriots | 51c | 1,700$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…dd1dbacked Jets | 44c | 1,646$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.42 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd97e…0b97backed Jets | 49c | 1,510$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…1265backed Patriots | 51c | 1,510$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Jets | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf65f…9c46backed Jets | 50c | 1,460$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Patriots | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Jets | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Patriots | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jets | 50c | 1,042$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.21 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Jets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Patriots | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf455…195bbacked Patriots | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Patriots | 50c | 861.86$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Jets | 49c | 818$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.82 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…a8c1backed Patriots | 51c | 780$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb560…60d6backed Patriots | 50c | 653.57$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…72cfbacked Patriots | 51c | 610$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…b852backed Jets | 49c | 610$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Patriots | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Patriots | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Jets | 50c | 384$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Patriots | 50c | 343$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf869…f264backed Jets | 50c | 342.94$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.47 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Jets | 42c | 306.76$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…4ddebacked Patriots | 51c | 288.18$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.21 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…5897backed Jets | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed Patriots | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…436ebacked Jets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Jets | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Jets | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Patriots | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Patriots | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Patriots | 49c | 168.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Jets | 54c | 166.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Jets | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Patriots | 51c | 155.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Patriots | 50c | 127.73$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Patriots | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…40c1backed Patriots | 51c | 103.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Patriots | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Jets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Jets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Patriots | 51c | 89.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf388…1acbbacked Jets | 49c | 83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce21…f7febacked Jets | 49c | 83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…0ed5backed Jets | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb642…10f5backed Jets | 49c | 81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2607…2fccbacked Jets | 49c | 81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Jets | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Jets | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f01…c75ebacked Jets | 49c | 78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9293…f0f8backed Jets | 49c | 77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Jets | 44c | 75.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d8…96ebbacked Jets | 49c | 74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d4…a91fbacked Jets | 49c | 71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ee…23e9backed Jets | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…ea9dbacked Jets | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Patriots | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Patriots | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e3…6548backed Jets | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Jets | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Patriots | 49c | 39.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Patriots | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed Patriots | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Jets | 54c | 33.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…ada0backed Patriots | 51c | 30.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85ea…b7d7backed Patriots | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…ee9fbacked Jets | 75c | 24.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Patriots (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-6.5)Patriots won
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-7.5)Jets won
- Jets vs. PatriotsPatriots won
- Jets vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylinePatriots won
- Jets vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 42.5Under won
- Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 43.5Under won
- Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5Under won
- Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5Under won
- Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5Under won
- Spread: Patriots (-10.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-11.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-13.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.