NFL · resolved market
Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 42.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c4658755daf5e1ccc9d0edd4fdeb1abe16667ea7f668684b6352fa2d433c606
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Over | 52c | 85,888$44,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,734.64 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 49c | 49,947$24,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,673.67 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Under | 48c | 49,699$23,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,843.22 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 30,681$14,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,015.93 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 52c | 24,451$12,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,705.69 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.99 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Over | 52c | 14,412$7,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,494.14 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Over | 51c | 14,069$7,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,175.12 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Under | 48c | 10,350$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,382 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Over | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Over | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Under | 48c | 7,292$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.67 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3a…9ec0backed Over | 51c | 7,255$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 52c | 7,250$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,769.68 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 6,209$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.92 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 48c | 5,654$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.28 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e907backed Over | 50c | 5,162$2,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Under | 50c | 5,157$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.96 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 49c | 3,988$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.88 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 1c | 3,821$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +931.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 3,019$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 50c | 2,427$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.5 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 47c | 2,035$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.89 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 2,034$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.68 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,894$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.49 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Over | 50c | 1,251$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.5 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 51c | 1,196$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 1,034$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.69 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…c623backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 52c | 962$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.24 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 898.08$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.04 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 47c | 799.99$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.99 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Over | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Under | 48c | 555$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…d25fbacked Over | 52c | 455.23$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Over | 52c | 447.54$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked Over | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 46c | 370.37$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…38b2backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Over | 60c | 366.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Under | 50c | 362.48$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.24 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…007bbacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Over | 43c | 280.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Over | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Under | 48c | 216.6$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Under | 48c | 192.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 49c | 179.74$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.06 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Under | 60c | 165.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…3d54backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…2286backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…1f39backed Over | 52c | 113.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Under | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9c…45e0backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb7…8d07backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Over | 53c | 79.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…d8adbacked Over | 35c | 69.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 69.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 49c | 62.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…b631backed Over | 53c | 52.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b9…c9c8backed Over | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff0…f5babacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…c5f4backed Under | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…e0a0backed Under | 49c | 48.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Over | 51c | 47.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Over | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -9.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe06f…1984backed Over | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8012…2ce6backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa55…4b00backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…aec0backed Under | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe570…b4fabacked Over | 52c | 36.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Over | 53c | 36.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…976bbacked Over | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Under | 50c | 26.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…429fbacked Under | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…d77ebacked Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Over | 53c | 20.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 42.5this page
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-6.5)Patriots won
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-7.5)Jets won
- Jets vs. PatriotsPatriots won
- Jets vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylinePatriots won
- Jets vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 43.5Under won
- Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5Under won
- Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5Under won
- Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5Under won
- Spread: Patriots (-10.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-11.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-12.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-13.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.