TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Patriots (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Patriotsof Patriots, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,338
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,338 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9249…4f16backed Jets46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.9617647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Patriots53c9,310$4,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,375.744652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jets47c9,299$4,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,368.7986547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7189…b454backed Patriots52c5,998$3,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,857.215764.9%37 W · 20 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Patriots53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35013654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Patriots51c4,681$2,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.7331240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Patriots54c4,074$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.075358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1085…ff63backed Patriots54c3,310$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+109.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca4b…2410backed Jets49c3,301$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Jets48c3,205$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.4632050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jets47c2,256$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.61,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Jets49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.0914035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Patriots55c1,802$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.052965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Jets47c1,750$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.57143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jets45c1,692$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.4575852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Jets49c1,624$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7962142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Jets49c1,088$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5331637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Jets48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Jets47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47039242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jets47c965.3$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.699855.1%54 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Patriots52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5411156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Patriots54c932.96$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.9612343.1%53 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Patriots54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.932462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Jets49c888.78$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.57436.5%27 W · 47 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Patriots55c658.54$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.5973651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5276…74ddbacked Patriots54c657.41$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.41955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Patriots53c640$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.811759.8%70 W · 47 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Patriots53c639.25$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.377052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Jets47c612$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.2217144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a8…6d3abacked Patriots52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeca0…c623backed Jets42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1b…b97abacked Jets47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jets46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18439447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Jets47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18811168.5%76 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7853…e211backed Patriots54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Patriots54c370$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.231450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jets46c328.66$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1965048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Patriots51c309.97$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.891,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ac…ef52backed Patriots52c299.97$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.991250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc626…2beabacked Patriots53c268.7$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.296546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Jets49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.518745.5%85 W · 102 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jets46c240.11$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1783447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b80…657fbacked Patriots53c212$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6415746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbde…a050backed Jets48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009940.4%40 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Jets48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005855.2%32 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Jets48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028337.8%107 W · 176 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Jets49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4555345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jets47c202$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9453253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc4d…f0b8backed Patriots54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9213448.5%65 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Patriots54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Jets48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9631540.6%128 W · 187 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Patriots54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.197741.6%32 W · 45 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Jets47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.520542%86 W · 119 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Patriots54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1111744.4%52 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Patriots53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4720632%66 W · 140 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Patriots53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.345853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed Patriots53c90.57$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.571656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b4…0a0fbacked Patriots54c88.83$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.86650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aad…18f4backed Patriots57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.727627.6%21 W · 55 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Patriots53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61580%12 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+53.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8e07…3702backed Jets48c65.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.514944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Jets34c65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2518427.7%51 W · 133 L-18.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Patriots53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.218151.9%94 W · 87 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb7…8d07backed Patriots54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.561450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jets47c55.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2436341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517558.9%103 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Jets48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2427835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x019c…643ebacked Patriots51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Patriots52c49.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7333553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18ba…4b78backed Jets58c48.03$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…9cf9backed Jets48c47.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236041.7%25 W · 35 L-7.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3dba…5531backed Patriots54c46.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.511752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2577…9493backed Patriots54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc60a…0a07backed Patriots54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Jets48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011747.9%56 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa990…9969backed Jets49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc0e…49d9backed Patriots53c39.28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Jets51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022745.4%103 W · 124 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff2c…2f90backed Jets46c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52dd…bf3bbacked Patriots54c38.89$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.893560%21 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe958…b5e9backed Patriots53c30.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x787c…7ae2backed Patriots54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Patriots53c24.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5318350.3%92 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf44f…0995backed Patriots54c18.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.