MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x326c62061de62a9238da76d54e3fa8bf5dcc9f56a5358e54dae8fc8da7af2f37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $275,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $274,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Sox | 54c | 53,421$28,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,572.02 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 40,040$18,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,418.58 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Red Sox | 54c | 33,188$17,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,266.42 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Red Sox | 53c | 31,419$16,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,766.86 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 71c | 23,363$16,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,785.91 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Red Sox | 54c | 19,899$10,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,153.42 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 16,630$7,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,058.69 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 16,256$7,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,477.76 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Blue Jays | 46c | 16,045$7,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,310.44 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Red Sox | 55c | 15,000$8,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,822.52 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Blue Jays | 31c | 12,729$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Blue Jays | 46c | 12,417$5,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,704.32 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed Blue Jays | 45c | 8,821$3,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,968.71 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Blue Jays | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blue Jays | 45c | 7,433$3,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,352.9 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Red Sox | 64c | 7,109$4,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.93 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Red Sox | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.97 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Blue Jays | 46c | 6,885$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,167.11 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Red Sox | 70c | 6,500$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 6,200$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Blue Jays | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Blue Jays | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Blue Jays | 46c | 4,740$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.2 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Blue Jays | 27c | 4,483$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.58 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Blue Jays | 47c | 3,830$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Blue Jays | 3c | 3,302$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Blue Jays | 16c | 2,554$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.05 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 2,553$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Blue Jays | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5551…5616backed Blue Jays | 47c | 2,400$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Blue Jays | 47c | 2,340$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.95 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e37…4a79backed Red Sox | 54c | 2,100$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Sox | 64c | 2,085$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.06 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…c31fbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 2,014$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…7a3abacked Blue Jays | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 11c | 1,879$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.72 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Blue Jays | 12c | 1,756$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.72 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Blue Jays | 18c | 1,632$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.25 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Blue Jays | 44c | 1,534$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.03 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 73c | 1,448$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.81 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,398$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.3 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Blue Jays | 11c | 1,351$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 1,333$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.17 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6a…9f0dbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 1,309$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Red Sox | 55c | 1,214$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.98 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Blue Jays | 16c | 1,185$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.07 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Sox | 54c | 1,167$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.82 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Blue Jays | 13c | 1,014$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.02 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7be…8287backed Red Sox | 54c | 980$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays | 12c | 969.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.08 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 933.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.63 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Blue Jays | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x971e…f9e2backed Red Sox | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Blue Jays | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Blue Jays | 4c | 833.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Blue Jays | 19c | 833.96$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.68 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Blue Jays | 9c | 807.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bd…28c4backed Red Sox | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 49c | 709.76$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.88 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Sox | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 73c | 639.36$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.98 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…2c03backed Blue Jays | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…d24bbacked Red Sox | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 633.28$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.47 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Blue Jays | 20c | 603.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Blue Jays | 13c | 569.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 532.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.36 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Blue Jays | 47c | 511$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.37 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78a…7166backed Red Sox | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Red Sox | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blue Jays | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…1ed4backed Red Sox | 54c | 457.41$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Red Sox | 54c | 444.44$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.44 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…4832backed Blue Jays | 47c | 426.94$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.66 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 47c | 425$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Red Sox | 56c | 402$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.88 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Blue Jays | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…d06dbacked Blue Jays | 21c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Red Sox | 54c | 399.93$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.68 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blue Jays | 19c | 381.34$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Blue Jays | 44c | 369.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Blue Jays | 4c | 356.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Red Sox | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…4415backed Blue Jays | 47c | 330$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f76…e9a7backed Blue Jays | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75a…b462backed Blue Jays | 47c | 319$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 307.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.68 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Red Sox | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Red Sox | 55c | 299.96$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 63c | 298$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.32 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…06d9backed Blue Jays | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jays | 45c | 283.75$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.89 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 259.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays | 42c | 232.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Sox vs. Blue Jaysthis page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.