Middle East · resolved market
Netanyahu out by 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x641c8b680947405e097da700c54f344556bb59e2093acdf1576c1c68e795bddf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $977,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $990,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $977,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 562 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 78c | 31,940$24,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,114.93 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 9c | 29,880$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.2 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…42dcbacked Yes | 0c | 28,100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…d32ebacked Yes | 5c | 21,194$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.4 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6007…47a3backed Yes | 9c | 19,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 74c | 17,245$12,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,528.94 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 4c | 13,827$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.75 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdd…d33fbacked No | 79c | 12,914$10,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 20c | 12,851$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.36 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…9e5cbacked Yes | 10c | 12,569$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…6a7dbacked Yes | 8c | 12,056$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…57f6backed Yes | 6c | 11,489$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 21c | 10,418$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.59 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 9,511$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.4 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 18c | 9,132$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.36 | 117 | 28.2%33 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 79c | 8,547$6,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.24 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…d1e3backed Yes | 1c | 8,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…4f3ebacked Yes | 8c | 8,405$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.95 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…978abacked Yes | 25c | 7,833$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed No | 78c | 7,776$6,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.16 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 30c | 7,700$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.67 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 20c | 6,588$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.62 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…3ce5backed Yes | 9c | 6,563$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.7 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 71c | 5,904$4,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.47 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -7.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x348e…e7d5backed Yes | 1c | 5,775$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe352…f259backed Yes | 9c | 5,258$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…38aebacked Yes | 19c | 5,148$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 29c | 5,140$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 8c | 4,595$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.14 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed Yes | 22c | 4,334$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.92 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 79c | 4,236$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.41 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…eccebacked Yes | 27c | 4,109$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…0b6bbacked Yes | 8c | 4,012$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9dc…4d2fbacked Yes | 5c | 4,000$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…1bc4backed Yes | 36c | 4,000$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 77c | 3,921$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.93 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943c…ed6fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,728$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 79c | 3,713$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ac…ad7fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,615$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.65 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 20c | 3,477$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.04 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe680…8788backed Yes | 23c | 3,388$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…2349backed Yes | 23c | 3,328$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 16c | 3,269$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.63 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…106bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,268$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ac…c2aabacked Yes | 12c | 3,228$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 13c | 3,117$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.67 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 72c | 3,103$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.81 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -9.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5049…6092backed Yes | 8c | 3,100$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb491…e015backed Yes | 24c | 2,998$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 67c | 2,973$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.96 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 29c | 2,913$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.32 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 9c | 2,840$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.8 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 73c | 2,830$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.35 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…399bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,828$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 9c | 2,714$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.36 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…565dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,665$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.88 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c62…df09backed Yes | 23c | 2,500$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…a1aebacked Yes | 19c | 2,466$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 67c | 2,433$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.52 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 21c | 2,308$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b9…5853backed Yes | 15c | 2,161$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5218backed Yes | 3c | 2,121$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…6264backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 34c | 1,923$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.23 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed Yes | 24c | 1,913$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.11 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa968…aa45backed Yes | 7c | 1,890$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Yes | 5c | 1,840$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…d092backed Yes | 10c | 1,721$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 26c | 1,560$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…97e5backed Yes | 25c | 1,552$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.48 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff21…4643backed Yes | 1c | 1,545$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 12c | 1,524$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked No | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed No | 76c | 1,500$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed No | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,483$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a3…88d0backed Yes | 15c | 1,416$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…8bf3backed Yes | 7c | 1,400$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 78c | 1,394$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.58 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac8…64c0backed Yes | 23c | 1,319$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5105…a2b2backed Yes | 1c | 1,297$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 20c | 1,292$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.87 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3366…e5bebacked Yes | 37c | 1,206$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…8e3bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,200$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 7c | 1,200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…23debacked Yes | 2c | 1,193$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 13c | 1,155$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8456…e61abacked Yes | 4c | 1,150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 66c | 1,140$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.45 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…e2ebbacked Yes | 9c | 1,138$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…3291backed No | 78c | 1,128$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.28 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed Yes | 12c | 1,127$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.89 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 21c | 1,126$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x139d…fe64backed Yes | 22c | 1,124$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.3 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd674…65b9backed Yes | 4c | 1,124$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc894…b9f6backed Yes | 18c | 1,120$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netanyahu out by 2025?this page
- Netanyahu out by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.