NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f0186ccbaaa7d53e79c07a99309dae79278da27781309f471f53dd4873b7611
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Mavericks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $414,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $410,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $414,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 896 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 52,472$32,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,939.3 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Mavericks | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Mavericks | 38c | 50,000$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,000 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Grizzlies | 63c | 15,876$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,875.66 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Mavericks | 38c | 10,815$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,106.13 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b36…e99bbacked Mavericks | 12c | 10,666$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Mavericks | 37c | 10,000$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,733.17 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mavericks | 0c | 9,653$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Grizzlies | 66c | 8,432$5,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.55 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 16c | 7,242$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Grizzlies | 61c | 6,424$3,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.3 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks | 0c | 6,023$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 5,812$3,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd76e…225bbacked Mavericks | 39c | 5,587$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks | 1c | 5,438$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…1654backed Mavericks | 1c | 5,244$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Mavericks | 38c | 3,863$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.67 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 38c | 3,762$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.15 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Mavericks | 1c | 3,253$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mavericks | 4c | 3,214$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.03 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Mavericks | 37c | 2,898$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.27 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks | 2c | 2,570$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 2,558$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.29 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Grizzlies | 62c | 2,518$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.7 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb99…b717backed Mavericks | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…69a5backed Grizzlies | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…bd19backed Grizzlies | 62c | 2,300$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…986bbacked Mavericks | 39c | 2,300$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Mavericks | 38c | 2,253$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.19 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…ea40backed Mavericks | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95dd…914bbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Mavericks | 38c | 1,800$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.98 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Mavericks | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…eeb9backed Mavericks | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Grizzlies | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 1,471$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.67 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mavericks | 32c | 1,441$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.66 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…4ad4backed Mavericks | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…b6a5backed Grizzlies | 62c | 1,400$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…64efbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559f…cd83backed Mavericks | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…eb4abacked Grizzlies | 62c | 1,282$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Mavericks | 39c | 1,250$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Mavericks | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…ad4cbacked Mavericks | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 56c | 1,161$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.51 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks | 15c | 1,147$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.42 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mavericks | 38c | 1,103$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.02 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…784abacked Mavericks | 1c | 1,070$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Mavericks | 37c | 1,008$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.96 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3345…9c9abacked Grizzlies | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Grizzlies | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6cfabacked Grizzlies | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…2ac5backed Grizzlies | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd5…13a0backed Mavericks | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Mavericks | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…c552backed Mavericks | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…8d6cbacked Mavericks | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…dd71backed Grizzlies | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Grizzlies | 61c | 861.59$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.02 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks | 37c | 841.98$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.67 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Mavericks | 37c | 822.77$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.43 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Mavericks | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Mavericks | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6823…9507backed Grizzlies | 62c | 690$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Mavericks | 37c | 661$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.57 | 699 | 29.8%208 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Mavericks | 40c | 630$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Mavericks | 37c | 575.19$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.82 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…2ca9backed Grizzlies | 59c | 561.99$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…69dabacked Mavericks | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Mavericks | 37c | 530$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 591 | 31.1%184 W · 407 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Mavericks | 38c | 519.96$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.58 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a29…72e7backed Grizzlies | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…db7ebacked Mavericks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf364…81f9backed Mavericks | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657b…a419backed Mavericks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…a994backed Grizzlies | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x714e…35dcbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…4ce6backed Mavericks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb679…a656backed Grizzlies | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Mavericks | 39c | 499.9$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…8692backed Mavericks | 41c | 490$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…8c7bbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 490$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…5f91backed Mavericks | 40c | 490$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2c…39e3backed Grizzlies | 60c | 490$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…bbd2backed Grizzlies | 59c | 490$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…9de4backed Mavericks | 41c | 490$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Grizzlies | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grizzlies | 61c | 483$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.37 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…6e61backed Grizzlies | 59c | 480$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…cf9cbacked Mavericks | 41c | 480$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c95…a497backed Mavericks | 41c | 480$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…6d19backed Grizzlies | 59c | 480$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…e4d4backed Grizzlies | 59c | 480$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e9…1123backed Mavericks | 41c | 480$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe534…6678backed Mavericks | 41c | 480$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4681…3f8bbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 480$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…d4f6backed Grizzlies | 59c | 480$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Grizzliesthis page
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.