NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe36558007596674a15545f35cc99757e0b1d9092fe9e5e6bd884fea2aaa8727
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,193,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,340,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,193,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 200,093$67,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,112.56 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Nuggets | 50c | 106,000$52,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,040.81 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Timberwolves | 33c | 85,872$28,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,433.42 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Nuggets | 68c | 62,565$42,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,020.92 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Nuggets | 67c | 56,251$37,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,574.3 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 53,632$29,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,439.75 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Nuggets | 68c | 51,770$35,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,566.4 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Timberwolves | 29c | 51,285$14,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,697.61 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Timberwolves | 50c | 45,002$22,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,500.92 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Nuggets | 68c | 40,136$27,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,004.92 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nuggets | 63c | 32,034$20,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,795.59 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Nuggets | 45c | 29,607$13,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,284.12 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Timberwolves | 45c | 29,017$12,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,912.54 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 28,340$14,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,391.29 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Nuggets | 67c | 25,338$16,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,370.18 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…2c31backed Timberwolves | 33c | 25,000$8,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,150 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Nuggets | 67c | 24,609$16,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,138.94 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 66c | 24,071$15,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,184.15 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Timberwolves | 33c | 23,364$7,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,745.37 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Nuggets | 48c | 21,043$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,042.56 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves | 32c | 20,659$6,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,611 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7463…327fbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 20,052$11,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,229.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Timberwolves | 32c | 15,951$5,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,104.42 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…1e47backed Nuggets | 73c | 15,083$11,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,072.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9f41backed Timberwolves | 54c | 10,900$5,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,886 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 30c | 10,034$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Nuggets | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Nuggets | 67c | 7,191$4,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.42 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Timberwolves | 31c | 6,841$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.77 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Nuggets | 68c | 6,156$4,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.94 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Timberwolves | 33c | 5,564$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.2 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Nuggets | 67c | 5,440$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.2 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 44c | 5,341$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.91 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Nuggets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Nuggets | 68c | 4,800$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.99 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Timberwolves | 16c | 4,709$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.29 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets | 68c | 4,625$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.49 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…1d5dbacked Nuggets | 68c | 4,424$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Timberwolves | 32c | 4,100$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.99 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Nuggets | 74c | 3,658$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.4 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Nuggets | 68c | 3,529$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.41 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 3,500$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Nuggets | 44c | 3,199$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.26 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nuggets | 65c | 3,190$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.74 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Nuggets | 69c | 3,175$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.23 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Timberwolves | 32c | 3,069$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.12 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Nuggets | 66c | 3,016$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.61 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x737e…8e9bbacked Nuggets | 63c | 3,000$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.99 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Timberwolves | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Timberwolves | 36c | 2,614$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.58 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Nuggets | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.98 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Timberwolves | 35c | 2,451$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.19 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Nuggets | 70c | 2,447$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.6 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nuggets | 47c | 2,400$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.14 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Timberwolves | 44c | 2,214$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.24 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Timberwolves | 29c | 2,126$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.54 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 36c | 2,050$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Nuggets | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Timberwolves | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 18c | 1,890$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.28 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 21c | 1,873$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.09 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Timberwolves | 32c | 1,850$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Timberwolves | 17c | 1,800$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…6f5ebacked Nuggets | 68c | 1,618$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb644…d6e1backed Timberwolves | 25c | 1,596$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Timberwolves | 1c | 1,572$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5592backed Timberwolves | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Nuggets | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Timberwolves | 32c | 1,500$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.67 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,466$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Timberwolves | 34c | 1,463$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.88 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…1d3ebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 1,460$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,405$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.56 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Timberwolves | 34c | 1,400$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.97 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Nuggets | 64c | 1,200$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce73…b810backed Timberwolves | 25c | 1,168$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd5…7236backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,151$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.03 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a976backed Nuggets | 75c | 1,150$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,113$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.77 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Nuggets | 66c | 1,094$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.01 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,030$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Nuggets | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Nuggets | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Nuggets | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Timberwolves | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Nuggets | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…f73bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…251cbacked Timberwolves | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 4c | 993.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets | 67c | 951.46$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.98 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9912…4f03backed Nuggets | 69c | 924.64$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.64 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Nuggets | 54c | 907.5$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.83 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nuggets | 68c | 898$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.36 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…7c3abacked Nuggets | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Timberwolves | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c0…3130backed Timberwolves | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0675…492cbacked Nuggets | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.