Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5171fbc46f6d0ba9f2ea120b7c260d56ad2a31d3c6a86585d3aad6d2df829f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3d1…0bcdbacked Yes | 5c | 9,003$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 5,308$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8f…8001backed Yes | 4c | 4,721$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c61…2090backed Yes | 18c | 4,087$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…0874backed Yes | 4c | 3,952$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…daf6backed Yes | 7c | 3,393$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 34c | 3,376$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…73ecbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…285fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,956$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 2c | 2,753$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,574$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5768…70b0backed Yes | 2c | 2,392$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…4d74backed Yes | 4c | 2,148$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e7…9632backed Yes | 3c | 2,067$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72de…a5edbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6e…f18ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,976$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa5…3f52backed Yes | 13c | 1,945$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67e…ca0dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,879$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…d29ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,417$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…320ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b9…a226backed No | 63c | 1,306$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,251$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,241$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 80c | 1,162$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.68 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 1,116$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed No | 46c | 1,100$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.36 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +14.7wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…d8cabacked Yes | 2c | 1,032$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…d9febacked Yes | 2c | 1,027$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…d771backed Yes | 8c | 1,010$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…8ec0backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05eb…6620backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd729…d97ebacked Yes | 1c | 984.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 66c | 982.93$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.35 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa4…04f2backed Yes | 2c | 929.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…839bbacked Yes | 6c | 896.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…f4adbacked Yes | 7c | 875.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 76c | 803.08$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.81 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 9c | 793.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…3fc5backed Yes | 2c | 784.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 3c | 720.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +8.3wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 2c | 700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0d…37ecbacked Yes | 15c | 640.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 79c | 636.81$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.43 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 7c | 600$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -66%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Yes | 9c | 579.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…8642backed Yes | 5c | 544.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…08fdbacked Yes | 3c | 541.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…b489backed Yes | 3c | 502.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 28c | 500$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…065abacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…8181backed Yes | 5c | 499.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 18c | 486.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +12.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0910…ce1cbacked Yes | 2c | 484.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05c…7242backed Yes | 2c | 476.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a98…5950backed Yes | 4c | 462.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…653ebacked Yes | 21c | 394.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…f01abacked Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 68c | 350$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe88…90f5backed Yes | 58c | 344.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…d8ccbacked Yes | 4c | 340.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed Yes | 55c | 318.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 24c | 312.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fb…b340backed Yes | 17c | 308.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5972…32e6backed Yes | 4c | 304.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 9c | 298.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 73c | 292.01$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 52c | 290.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.24 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…2ba5backed Yes | 6c | 289.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…2f92backed No | 52c | 285$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0d…4c24backed No | 34c | 283.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 34c | 275.34$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.32 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 33c | 260$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…af53backed Yes | 64c | 241.31$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 6c | 240.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…a72bbacked Yes | 65c | 231.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 30c | 222.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…f07cbacked Yes | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed Yes | 11c | 199.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes | 42c | 196$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…d07cbacked Yes | 23c | 194.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked No | 44c | 193.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 13c | 191.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…8f40backed Yes | 26c | 190.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd1…2658backed Yes | 10c | 190.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea7…f2dcbacked Yes | 11c | 188.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…1bedbacked Yes | 17c | 185.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0604…8a8fbacked Yes | 11c | 184.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a4…5a4fbacked Yes | 5c | 182.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 39c | 181.65$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.81 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 36c | 180$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fda…b498backed No | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed Yes | 6c | 172$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…15a8backed Yes | 13c | 167.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af8…1864backed Yes | 31c | 163.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 41c | 150$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.