Us Midterms · resolved market
Zohran Mamdani Parlay
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde4f68bdf49deb8984dcf3e644027779bfb8159a97b5bcfb75ae316e9b8a5b01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $290,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $284,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 56c | 23,767$13,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,510.89 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bb…6566backed No | 51c | 20,150$10,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,873.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb12…5134backed Yes | 49c | 20,150$9,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,873.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c70…f9e1backed No | 46c | 19,801$9,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,696.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 39c | 19,024$7,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,382.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 35c | 13,726$4,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,955.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…0899backed Yes | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…75ddbacked Yes | 3c | 9,476$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes | 57c | 8,666$4,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,962.2 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…501ebacked No | 33c | 7,979$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,329.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…6cc4backed Yes | 59c | 7,861$4,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,641.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 39c | 7,110$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,306.14 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked No | 57c | 7,099$4,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 55c | 5,481$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038.36 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed No | 58c | 3,564$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.65 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa968…aa45backed No | 29c | 3,193$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 53c | 2,566$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 57c | 2,300$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.48 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…f6b5backed No | 44c | 2,300$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed No | 50c | 1,880$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 39c | 1,866$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.69 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 31c | 1,863$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.54 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 44c | 1,750$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.8 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 50c | 1,748$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.72 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked No | 53c | 1,543$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13c…ed9cbacked Yes | 78c | 1,533$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 54c | 1,530$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.78 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 43c | 1,472$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.93 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…e021backed No | 43c | 1,466$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…1011backed No | 49c | 1,451$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 50c | 1,389$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.69 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…4d1fbacked No | 46c | 1,383$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.94 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,217$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.24 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fb…9cf8backed Yes | 45c | 1,144$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 54c | 1,096$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.42 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 47c | 1,020$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.99 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 1,003$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…a2f3backed No | 55c | 1,000$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…8070backed Yes | 69c | 969.24$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 51c | 898.47$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.09 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…d672backed Yes | 12c | 873.84$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 37c | 866$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.12 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…273fbacked Yes | 38c | 835.93$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed No | 36c | 758.57$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 51c | 742.88$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.94 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…bdb2backed No | 41c | 741.03$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49a7…5f17backed Yes | 44c | 708.2$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 50c | 706.55$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.05 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1277…13d8backed Yes | 61c | 706.24$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a4…c8a2backed No | 52c | 704.73$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…8ef9backed Yes | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 39c | 700$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.37 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…5da2backed No | 50c | 698.28$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.03 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e3…fed3backed Yes | 44c | 675.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab39…c22fbacked No | 42c | 630$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6069…1581backed Yes | 3c | 598$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 38c | 590.34$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.72 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…5bbabacked No | 43c | 584$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e3…7f46backed Yes | 52c | 577.78$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e96…a75bbacked Yes | 71c | 568.43$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…52b7backed Yes | 61c | 543.81$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 55c | 532.11$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.66 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…bca3backed No | 45c | 529.98$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…3f9ebacked No | 49c | 513.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked No | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…dbcbbacked No | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2475…5f8cbacked No | 47c | 484.78$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 56c | 480$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 2c | 474.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2263…4e26backed No | 42c | 469.59$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 45c | 458.32$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.05 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 50c | 437.41$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.75 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 38c | 421.31$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed No | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…bddcbacked Yes | 60c | 397.42$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +481.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked Yes | 47c | 374.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Yes | 48c | 364.31$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed Yes | 57c | 363.63$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.88 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…8fe8backed No | 51c | 363$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Yes | 58c | 349.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 63c | 349.98$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.74 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 15c | 334.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18e7…ed30backed No | 44c | 326.74$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +214.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 53c | 323.4$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 53c | 307.5$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.14 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 43c | 300$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc975…2c68backed No | 31c | 300$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…17b7backed No | 44c | 300$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…48babacked No | 42c | 299.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ea…08a5backed No | 34c | 295$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +121.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…1f85backed No | 42c | 292$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaba…a1d7backed Yes | 50c | 281.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked Yes | 61c | 277.94$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.76 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 79c | 269.22$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…6e6fbacked Yes | 8c | 265.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.