TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Timberwolves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$880,379
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$957,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $880,379 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 496 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers49c90,730$44,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,208.4485742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Lakers28c58,624$16,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,327.136148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Timberwolves71c44,223$31,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,526.3371052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Timberwolves49c31,049$15,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,286.9626038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Lakers29c30,000$8,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,30051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Timberwolves67c29,457$19,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,785.2159646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Lakers29c28,228$8,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,041.6451844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Timberwolves35c27,407$9,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,532.5847448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Lakers29c25,001$7,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,820.0935235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Timberwolves73c24,326$17,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,778.8747144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5afb…4511backed Timberwolves72c23,748$17,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,041.735540%22 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Timberwolves73c22,968$16,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,685.5437557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Timberwolves71c22,099$15,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,690.3619249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Timberwolves73c19,795$14,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,450.381,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves29c19,701$5,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,655.388,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Timberwolves73c18,026$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,20017354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Timberwolves73c17,099$12,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,474.2769852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers27c12,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,759.992,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Timberwolves64c11,966$7,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,606.9814856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Lakers30c10,087$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,086.7823342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x702b…d274backed Timberwolves3c10,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Lakers29c9,745$2,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,960.65149%25 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Lakers30c8,232$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,776.846245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b21…933cbacked Lakers77c8,045$6,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Lakers72c7,537$5,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,105.3512941.1%53 W · 76 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Lakers28c7,143$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,142.8616251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb3…26aebacked Timberwolves23c6,620$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.842828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Timberwolves2c6,250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12529810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves57c6,121$3,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,460.493,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Lakers20c6,025$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,790.8325925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Timberwolves20c5,930$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.6329738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Lakers53c5,790$3,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,704.871,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Timberwolves70c5,359$3,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,755.8844459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Lakers27c5,268$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,838.1315228.3%43 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x500e…5822backed Lakers78c5,202$4,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.694645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Lakers40c5,050$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,030.1420253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Lakers29c5,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,549.9934645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves72c4,558$3,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,279.839,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9882…d3bdbacked Lakers29c4,100$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,911475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+64.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Timberwolves49c4,099$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.3153134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee76…e67abacked Timberwolves75c4,064$3,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,040.893455.9%19 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe54b…d268backed Timberwolves10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-52.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Lakers28c4,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.9616942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Lakers37c3,869$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.771,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Timberwolves71c3,852$2,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,734.3412160.3%73 W · 48 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Timberwolves57c3,494$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008251.2%42 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf22c…9050backed Timberwolves60c3,471$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,074.372050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Lakers28c3,400$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.9761835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66f3…bde4backed Lakers73c3,270$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.21560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Timberwolves70c3,115$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.2695049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Timberwolves71c3,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,13047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Lakers27c2,932$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.2434852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves22c2,890$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.711,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc2…b145backed Timberwolves71c2,817$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Timberwolves71c2,683$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.4130053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161e…6ef0backed Timberwolves38c2,656$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.565664.3%36 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers30c2,577$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.151,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Timberwolves71c2,500$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77531347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Timberwolves59c2,474$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.2638151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Timberwolves70c2,353$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.955346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Lakers24c2,210$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.572,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Lakers41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Lakers76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48029458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Lakers24c1,985$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.6915745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Lakers31c1,948$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.0640133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf86c…8555backed Lakers69c1,903$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.77850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Timberwolves71c1,876$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.2973647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf7…9189backed Lakers21c1,847$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.03837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc787…4702backed Timberwolves72c1,800$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29640%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Timberwolves4c1,794$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.978783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Lakers29c1,724$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.1429037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Timberwolves72c1,694$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2201070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9dd…1870backed Timberwolves68c1,585$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.338254.9%45 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb644…d6e1backed Timberwolves49c1,547$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.233324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a1…301fbacked Timberwolves72c1,528$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a3…8a3dbacked Lakers28c1,512$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.411838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Timberwolves70c1,449$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.592,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Timberwolves12c1,426$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Timberwolves9c1,405$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.320034%68 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Timberwolves8c1,392$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11114040%56 W · 84 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Lakers29c1,379$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.318951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Timberwolves2c1,333$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3134524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Timberwolves35c1,300$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45517637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Timberwolves60c1,300$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78015551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Timberwolves71c1,290$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.2541848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0865…3dffbacked Timberwolves14c1,269$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.093751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Lakers40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7507939.2%31 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f9…58c0backed Timberwolves72c1,200$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86470%0 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Timberwolves71c1,160$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.5857760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f62…ac75backed Timberwolves5c1,106$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.046142.6%26 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves71c1,098$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.392,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Lakers40c1,092$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.844452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves2c1,088$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.431,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Lakers47c1,050$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.7516962.1%105 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Lakers29c1,034$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.4812451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Timberwolves1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Lakers32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6801,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Timberwolves75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507561.3%46 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Lakers70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30013950.4%70 W · 69 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.