NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b7eb94c0beb50330b88648f02df5598df80c05fab4dc958f54e832be0859be3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 51c | 8,304$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,055.26 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb9…0879backed Over | 53c | 6,580$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 5,745$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.99 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…51c5backed Under | 49c | 5,078$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…cbe5backed Over | 51c | 3,546$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 3,228$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…08e6backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6703…8993backed Over | 51c | 1,532$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…4542backed Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc499…2876backed Under | 46c | 1,297$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb23…a436backed Over | 54c | 931$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…f713backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3639…716cbacked Under | 46c | 838$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…0932backed Over | 54c | 831$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e3…a38abacked Under | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…f711backed Over | 54c | 788$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1317…c274backed Over | 50c | 743$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…38e7backed Under | 46c | 731$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd698…44e0backed Under | 46c | 655$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5029…318abacked Under | 47c | 650$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf76c…8cf2backed Under | 50c | 621$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e02…647abacked Over | 54c | 605$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 48c | 575.92$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.44 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96d…8015backed Under | 50c | 566.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…32aebacked Under | 50c | 533$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…2bdfbacked Over | 50c | 503$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…d8e1backed Under | 47c | 470$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…5f70backed Over | 50c | 466$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x632c…8041backed Over | 50c | 411$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 403.32$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.59 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…14f0backed Under | 50c | 402$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f69…a95dbacked Over | 54c | 366$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 46c | 324$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.49 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 70.8%63 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34eb…6225backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 55c | 169$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Over | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…06f9backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b7…9c83backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 49c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…03efbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 46c | 24.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…eb70backed Over | 54c | 24.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5this page
- Lakers vs. TimberwolvesLakers won
- Lakers vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.