NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf584ac5a313d135a999f2430f02b3c66dc5019b58dcedaa6e75d79636058f553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,850,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,878,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,850,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Kings | 18c | 1,148,965$204,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204,227.15 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…fed1backed Kings | 17c | 25,000$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Kings | 17c | 19,927$3,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,382.25 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Kings | 13c | 19,765$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…0228backed Kings | 18c | 12,028$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 3c | 11,661$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.21 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 14c | 11,000$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.99 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…4f5dbacked Kings | 78c | 10,800$8,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,424 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…1db9backed Thunder | 22c | 10,800$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,424 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +189.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Kings | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Thunder | 80c | 10,000$7,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.29 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Kings | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.98 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc610…707abacked Thunder | 2c | 9,750$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,555 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 28cpaid | +1,408.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kings | 17c | 9,070$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.06 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Kings | 23c | 8,772$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 18c | 7,150$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Kings | 15c | 6,135$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.5 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Kings | 16c | 6,040$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.7 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Kings | 16c | 6,029$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.99 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Kings | 12c | 6,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kings | 18c | 5,766$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.5 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings | 14c | 5,736$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.9 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Kings | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…a12ebacked Kings | 18c | 4,980$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Kings | 18c | 4,926$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.53 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6199…9316backed Kings | 18c | 4,800$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +254.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Kings | 25c | 4,210$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.8 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 7c | 4,097$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Kings | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Kings | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Kings | 22c | 3,890$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.77 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Thunder | 78c | 3,094$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Kings | 17c | 3,000$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.85 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings | 15c | 3,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Kings | 18c | 3,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Kings | 17c | 2,971$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.98 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Kings | 17c | 2,912$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.7 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e12…425dbacked Kings | 18c | 2,800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…bd19backed Kings | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Kings | 12c | 2,329$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.56 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Kings | 15c | 2,320$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…69a5backed Kings | 18c | 2,300$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Kings | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Kings | 1c | 2,050$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Kings | 18c | 2,047$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.4 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Kings | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Kings | 22c | 2,000$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.51 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kings | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Kings | 19c | 2,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…739dbacked Kings | 5c | 1,977$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Kings | 19c | 1,955$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.99 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca9e…d256backed Kings | 17c | 1,900$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Kings | 22c | 1,807$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.28 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Kings | 15c | 1,807$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.14 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings | 19c | 1,642$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.94 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…b6a5backed Kings | 18c | 1,600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcc…bb85backed Kings | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…eeb9backed Kings | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings | 1c | 1,333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Kings | 22c | 1,209$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.09 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Kings | 18c | 1,200$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Kings | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Kings | 15c | 1,198$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.68 | 479 | 49.7%238 W · 241 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…7418backed Kings | 17c | 1,147$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kings | 16c | 1,117$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.86 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Kings | 6c | 1,090$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a8…feb4backed Kings | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d79…4da1backed Kings | 18c | 1,082$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kings | 16c | 1,033$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.99 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Kings | 20c | 1,032$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.27 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Kings | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Kings | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Kings | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…38e5backed Thunder | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…06cebacked Kings | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Thunder | 78c | 958.45$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.86 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Kings | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked Kings | 21c | 860.39$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Kings | 3c | 745$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7016…85ddbacked Kings | 18c | 687.28$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…af69backed Thunder | 79c | 686.07$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…dd41backed Kings | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Kings | 11c | 611.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 15c | 610.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Thunder | 77c | 599.99$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…59e7backed Thunder | 78c | 579.75$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.75 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…a82bbacked Kings | 18c | 579.3$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Kings | 17c | 575.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Kings | 16c | 560$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Kings | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7c66backed Kings | 18c | 554.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 405 | 36.5%148 W · 257 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…59bdbacked Kings | 6c | 550.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 17cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…e50fbacked Kings | 11c | 500.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 651 | 44.5%290 W · 361 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Kings | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Kings | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Kings | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3f…0a9bbacked Thunder | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…bf76backed Kings | 13c | 495.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Thunder | 78c | 489.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Kingsthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.