NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae9c30a92a3699cf3972be9012c2325dc09641f6dd583adce28fcf96171be9ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Kings | 46c | 47,425$21,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,815.68 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Thunder | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Kings | 48c | 29,847$14,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,326.67 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 53c | 16,859$9,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,839.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Thunder | 54c | 10,000$5,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,625.94 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Thunder | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Thunder | 54c | 4,914$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.26 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kings | 47c | 3,632$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.63 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Kings | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.96 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Thunder | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Thunder | 53c | 2,922$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.66 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Thunder | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 54c | 1,870$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 51c | 1,500$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Thunder | 51c | 1,500$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…42e9backed Thunder | 56c | 1,259$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.14 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Kings | 56c | 1,106$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.53 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…0040backed Kings | 49c | 1,017$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Kings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…9fbcbacked Thunder | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d0…0256backed Kings | 49c | 936$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06d4…9c99backed Thunder | 51c | 905$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…ddd2backed Thunder | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3554…9645backed Kings | 49c | 896$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1b…5940backed Kings | 49c | 869$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8a…0d93backed Thunder | 51c | 842$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…5065backed Thunder | 51c | 808$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a8…20f9backed Thunder | 51c | 805$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd4…bbb3backed Thunder | 51c | 753$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.97 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc9…271abacked Kings | 49c | 743$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Thunder | 52c | 694.03$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.79 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7751…30ccbacked Kings | 49c | 630$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…74cdbacked Kings | 49c | 613$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Thunder | 53c | 555.21$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.95 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a94…e2c6backed Thunder | 51c | 548$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…6a85backed Thunder | 51c | 499$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Kings | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Kings | 53c | 382.53$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Thunder | 45c | 360.95$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfae…ff20backed Kings | 49c | 356$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Kings | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Thunder | 55c | 329.69$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.36 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Kings | 50c | 298.8$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.4 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 46c | 283$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Thunder | 50c | 255.08$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.54 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Kings | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Thunder | 52c | 246.15$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Thunder | 55c | 204.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Kings | 47c | 138.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Kings | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Kings | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Kings | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Thunder | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…32c2backed Kings | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…a43fbacked Kings | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 46c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Kings | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Thunder | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +6.9wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Thunder | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Kings | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…8fbabacked Kings | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…94a4backed Kings | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…3ca6backed Kings | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Kings | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Kings | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8dadbacked Kings | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e1…61edbacked Kings | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Thunder | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Kings | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -16.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…28a7backed Kings | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings | 45c | 34.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0f…7037backed Kings | 50c | 33.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…ed1dbacked Kings | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…f5dabacked Thunder | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Thunder | 54c | 29.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Thunder | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…74adbacked Kings | 50c | 25.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Thunder | 56c | 25.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Kings | 47c | 21.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfde…71d3backed Kings | 50c | 21.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…8492backed Kings | 50c | 20.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd15d…c293backed Kings | 50c | 20.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1d…2bd7backed Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc609…f29abacked Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…1468backed Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…c4a1backed Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5b0bbacked Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae21…f485backed Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. KingsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.