TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf91f…a82b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+273.4%+$109.07
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.78
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.57
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.41
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.55
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$124.74
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.85
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.94
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Kings vs. Magicbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.19
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$143.37
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$90.57
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29.61
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+132.6%+$135.78
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+242.1%+$72.57
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.96
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$180.74
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$109.82
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$89.89
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-77%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.09
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$436.74
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+90.2%+$212.13
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Wild vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+69.7%+$92.54
Red Wings vs. Kingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$16.58
All 6 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+110.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+51%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-59.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+203.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$34.67
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.32
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$40.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.39
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.61
Lafayette Leopards vs. American Eaglesbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.85
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+232.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+285.8%+$106.92
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+179.6%+$156.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+120.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+203%+$205
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Democratic sweep?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$307.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.